NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	101		Excitement	3.1 [1168]		MVP	Shane Battier (MIA): +8.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	86		Comeback	1.0 [1267]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): -13.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.01	9	72%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.01	18	62%	0.10	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Norris Cole	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	65%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	62%	0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	13	62%	0.04	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.16	0.00	-0.11	7	14%	-0.03	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	55%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Brandon Davies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	7	60%	0.05	4	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Elliot Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	38%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	54%	-0.00	2	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	-0.09	13	38%	0.01	3	-0.03	8	50%	-0.01
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	0.00	0.08	8	59%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Spencer Hawes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	14	34%	-0.05	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	7	35%	-0.04	5	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	-0.00	13	31%	-0.09	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	31.4	16.5	27.4	2.7	35.3	142.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +40.4%

MIA +4.2%

PHI -6.7%

MIA +10.8%

MIA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	13.7	15.1	103.1	89.6	105.2
season	15.6	13.7		109.7	98.4
opponent	15.0	15.8		108.4	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.2	14.0	14.1	21.2	15.9
PHI	13.6	14.2	14.1	12.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	68	67	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.29	25	-10	35	15.4	17.1	-1.66	13.7	13.7	0.04
Shane Battier	65	64	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.18	21	-6	27	16.1	15.6	0.56	13.4	14.4	-0.98
LeBron James	75	74	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.09	17	-2	19	15.7	16.7	-0.98	13.6	14.2	-0.66
Mario Chalmers	57	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.24	20	-5	25	15.2	17.0	-1.72	14.0	13.3	0.74
Ray Allen	47	47	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	11	-7	16.2	15.7	0.47	14.3	13.1	1.18
Dwyane Wade	53	53	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	8	-1	14.9	17.2	-2.23	13.6	13.9	-0.26
Norris Cole	53	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	16	-17	16.4	15.4	1.06	13.7	13.8	-0.07
Rashard Lewis	27	28	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.19	-4	19	-23	14.3	16.6	-2.23	14.7	13.3	1.41
Udonis Haslem	32	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.37	-11	26	-37	16.9	15.5	1.42	13.9	13.6	0.26
James Jones	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	24.7	15.6	9.18	9.3	13.9	-4.53
Roger Mason Jr.	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	24.7	15.6	9.18	9.3	13.9	-4.53
Michael Beasley	5	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	24.0	15.5	8.48	9.3	13.9	-4.53

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hollis Thompson	38	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.15	2	-17	19	13.8	13.7	0.07	18.5	14.3	4.26
Dewayne Dedmon	37	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.32	7	-22	29	14.1	13.5	0.59	18.2	14.4	3.79
Elliot Williams	34	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-15	15	13.8	13.7	0.07	19.0	14.3	4.70
Brandon Davies	28	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-12	9	13.7	13.7	-0.06	19.7	14.4	5.26
Tony Wroten	49	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.26	3	-18	21	13.9	13.5	0.45	17.3	14.5	2.80
James Anderson	54	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-4	-7	13.4	14.1	-0.63	14.1	18.2	-4.05
Thaddeus Young	68	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-3	-9	13.7	13.7	0.06	14.4	19.7	-5.26
Evan Turner	62	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	0	-15	13.7	13.8	-0.07	14.3	19.0	-4.70
Spencer Hawes	59	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.26	-22	7	-29	13.5	14.1	-0.59	14.4	18.2	-3.79
Michael Carter-Williams	51	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.28	-24	9	-33	13.8	13.7	0.10	14.6	17.5	-2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 120, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
WAS 93, MIL 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
BOS 123, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%