NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	123		Excitement	2.7 [1236]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (BOS): +9.1%
New York Knicks	98		Comeback	1.1 [571]		LVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): -6.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	13	65%	0.09	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Raef LaFrentz	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	8	87%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.03	14	58%	0.09	3	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.04	9	68%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Gerald Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.04	11	81%	0.07	4	-0.03	4	100%	-0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	5	42%	-0.01	3	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.00	4	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.04	11	61%	0.06	0	0.00	11	55%	-0.04
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	11	77%	0.06	5	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	15	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	-0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	53%	0.01	4	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	6	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	7	27%	-0.07	1	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.6	29.8	17.8	27.2	1.8	30.2	133.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +39.5%

BOS +4.4%

NYK -0.7%

BOS +6.0%

BOS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	13.6	14.2	15.6	118.3	95.1	104.4
season	14.8	15.7		103.3	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.8		108.7	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.6	13.2	13.1	15.6	13.6
NYK	13.6	15.6	14.6	13.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	87	87	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.56	35	-10	45	13.1	16.4	-3.28	14.2	14.2	-0.03
Paul Pierce	65	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.34	27	-2	29	12.6	15.3	-2.76	14.6	13.7	0.94
Ryan Gomes	62	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.28	22	3	19	12.5	15.2	-2.66	14.9	13.3	1.62
Raef LaFrentz	51	49	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.11	15	10	5	13.5	13.7	-0.19	14.1	14.4	-0.27
Wally Szczerbiak	61	59	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	12	1	13.7	13.5	0.20	15.0	13.1	1.90
Kendrick Perkins	56	56	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.14	12	13	-1	13.7	13.5	0.16	14.2	14.3	-0.10
Tony Allen	48	49	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	16	-7	13.9	13.4	0.46	13.9	14.5	-0.54
Brian Scalabrine	39	40	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	24	-23	15.3	12.6	2.76	13.4	14.7	-1.26
Gerald Green	39	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	23	-21	14.8	12.9	1.94	13.3	14.8	-1.51
Dwayne Jones	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	36	-47	17.7	13.1	4.68	12.5	14.4	-1.98

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	47	47	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.24	6	-31	37	14.3	14.2	0.14	14.7	12.7	2.00
Jackie Butler	44	42	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-22	19	13.2	14.9	-1.70	13.9	13.4	0.54
Malik Rose	25	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-18	11	14.2	14.2	0.02	14.5	13.3	1.18
Qyntel Woods	58	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.20	-14	-11	-3	14.1	14.3	-0.20	13.5	13.8	-0.26
David Lee	62	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.15	-13	-12	-1	14.5	13.8	0.74	13.5	13.7	-0.14
Eddy Curry	50	54	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.19	-15	-10	-5	14.5	14.0	0.46	13.5	13.7	-0.26
Jamal Crawford	51	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	-19	13	14.2	14.3	-0.09	14.6	12.6	1.97
Maurice Taylor	25	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.10	-12	-13	1	14.7	14.1	0.66	12.4	13.9	-1.50
Steve Francis	51	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.36	-22	-3	-19	14.1	14.3	-0.21	12.6	14.6	-1.97
Jalen Rose	45	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	-14	3	14.3	14.1	0.20	13.8	13.5	0.26
Stephon Marbury	57	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.42	-28	3	-31	14.3	14.1	0.17	12.7	14.7	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 88, CHI 63	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
ORL 105, ATL 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
ORL 99, CLE 69	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%