NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	114		Excitement	7.9 [269]		MVP	Greg Monroe (DET): +13.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	104		Comeback	4.6 [406]		LVP	Tony Wroten (PHI): -18.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.02	6	75%	0.16	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Will Bynum	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	-0.03	0.10	-0.04	11	62%	0.20	5	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08	0.06	0.04	0.02	10	68%	0.16	3	-0.07	8	87%	-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	11	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	12	41%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Chauncey Billups	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	17	42%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Josh Smith	-0.18	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	23	42%	-0.07	3	-0.12	6	67%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elliot Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	7	64%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.00	-0.04	14	55%	0.09	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.05	0.01	14	56%	0.08	1	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	21	51%	0.05	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Davies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.09	-0.06	20	48%	0.02	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-0.02	6	28%	-0.06	4	-0.13	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.6	30.3	15.7	22.8	1.8	37.2	137.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +31.1%

PHI -7.5%

DET +17.2%

DET +12.4%

PHI -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	13.8	13.7	15.1	107.5	101.0	105.2
season	15.0	13.7		104.7	98.4
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.4	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.7	14.8	14.7	12.5	13.8
PHI	11.5	15.9	14.1	13.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Bynum	73	70	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.04	20	-10	30	13.7	14.1	-0.36	14.5	12.1	2.35
Kyle Singler	79	75	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.08	14	-4	18	13.7	14.3	-0.61	14.1	12.6	1.58
Josh Smith	96	93	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	0	10	13.7	15.0	-1.28	13.5	16.0	-2.53
Brandon Jennings	61	62	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.33	1	9	-8	14.3	13.2	1.11	13.4	14.3	-0.91
Andre Drummond	70	70	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	6	-2	14.0	13.6	0.39	13.3	14.6	-1.26
Greg Monroe	60	58	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	9	-8	13.8	13.8	0.02	13.6	13.9	-0.34
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	67	64	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.25	-6	16	-22	13.8	13.9	-0.09	13.4	14.2	-0.82
Chauncey Billups	14	15	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	7	-4	15.7	13.6	2.16	15.5	13.4	2.12
Jonas Jerebko	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	2.0	14.0	-11.95	0.0	13.7	-13.72
Rodney Stuckey	9	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	7	-4	11.8	14.0	-2.25	12.5	13.8	-1.32

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Davies	20	21	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-11	12	14.5	13.5	1.03	13.0	14.1	-1.11
Elliot Williams	36	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-8	6	15.1	13.0	2.10	14.2	13.6	0.62
Hollis Thompson	21	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-5	0	14.3	13.6	0.77	14.2	13.7	0.43
Tony Wroten	44	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.22	-11	1	-12	13.7	13.7	-0.02	13.6	14.1	-0.51
Evan Turner	80	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-5	0	13.4	15.0	-1.59	13.7	14.2	-0.48
James Anderson	71	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-4	-2	13.8	13.6	0.14	13.5	14.4	-0.87
Michael Carter-Williams	74	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	-3	-4	13.4	14.7	-1.30	14.1	13.2	0.87
Spencer Hawes	78	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	-3	-4	13.6	14.1	-0.53	14.2	12.5	1.79
Thaddeus Young	91	91	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.27	-8	-2	-6	13.5	15.0	-1.45	13.7	14.7	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.73,0.79,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.25,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.31,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 95, UTA 83	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.02,0,0,0	91.7%
IND 92, GSW 81	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.58,0.48,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.31,0.19,0.14,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0	91.5%
MIN 78, IND 71	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.09,0.03,0	91.0%