NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	5.7 [695]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +19.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	111		Comeback	1.2 [1103]		LVP	Jordan Crawford (BOS): -7.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	18	59%	0.14	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	10	61%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Kelly Olynyk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Jared Sullinger	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	9	52%	0.00	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Jordan Crawford	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	17	53%	-0.00	5	-0.08	11	91%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.10	0.03	14	64%	0.25	2	-0.05	17	65%	-0.04
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.00	-0.00	11	75%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	9	65%	0.12	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	5	58%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	69%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.06
Darius Morris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	26	44%	0.04	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Maalik Wayns	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.0	34.1	15.8	28.1	2.4	43.5	150.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +22.2%

LAC +13.1%

BOS -4.1%

LAC +17.5%

LAC +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAC	NBA	BOS	LAC	NBA
this game	14.0	14.8	15.1	104.0	112.1	105.2
season	15.4	14.3		101.2	111.0
opponent	15.4	15.0		104.3	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.1	14.0	13.4	12.5	14.0
LAC	12.7	14.3	16.0	16.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Phil Pressey	10	10	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-9	12	16.7	13.7	3.01	16.3	14.7	1.65
Kelly Olynyk	42	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.27	9	-15	24	13.2	14.6	-1.41	13.7	15.5	-1.75
Jared Sullinger	24	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	1	-8	15.0	13.7	1.32	15.5	14.6	0.86
Jerryd Bayless	45	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-10	14	13.2	14.6	-1.43	15.0	14.7	0.24
Jeff Green	71	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	1	-8	13.7	14.7	-0.96	14.3	16.1	-1.77
Avery Bradley	66	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	0	-6	12.9	16.1	-3.16	14.9	14.7	0.10
Jordan Crawford	80	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-6	6	13.6	15.3	-1.64	14.3	16.7	-2.40
Kris Humphries	64	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	4	-14	14.2	13.6	0.67	15.2	14.1	1.02
Gerald Wallace	41	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	2	-10	15.2	13.1	2.11	15.4	14.4	0.98
Brandon Bass	62	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	2	-10	15.1	12.2	2.99	15.4	13.9	1.50

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	84	85	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-3	12	15.2	12.8	2.38	14.2	12.6	1.62
Jamal Crawford	93	94	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.18	10	-4	14	14.8	15.5	-0.73	14.0	14.1	-0.16
DeAndre Jordan	55	55	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.01	16	-10	26	14.5	15.2	-0.70	15.4	12.3	3.10
Darren Collison	65	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.13	5	1	4	14.9	14.7	0.22	15.2	11.8	3.35
Jared Dudley	69	70	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	-1	8	14.2	16.2	-2.03	13.4	15.3	-1.83
Willie Green	33	34	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.21	1	5	-4	15.0	14.7	0.23	11.9	15.0	-3.09
Antawn Jamison	24	25	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	3	0	16.1	14.4	1.67	14.4	13.9	0.49
Matt Barnes	45	48	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.41	-7	13	-20	15.1	14.6	0.58	13.0	14.9	-1.93
Maalik Wayns	7	8	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	10	-14	14.0	14.9	-0.88	12.4	14.1	-1.75
Darius Morris	1	2	-0.01	0.52	-0.53	-0.01	0	6	-6	5.0	14.9	-9.92	10.0	14.1	-4.07
Ryan Hollins	19	19	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.14	-10	16	-26	14.5	14.9	-0.36	13.6	14.1	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.77,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 78, MIL 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
BOS 104, DAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
SEA 91, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.76,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%