inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 91 Excitement5.2 [795] MVPRobert Swift (SEA): +11.7%
Dallas Mavericks 110 Comeback1.3 [1046] LVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): -15.1%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Robert Swift0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.090.040.01775%0.1200.002100%0.01
Nick Collison0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.02-0.004100%0.142-0.042100%0.01
Damien Wilkins0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.010.02978%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Mateen Cleaves0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johan Petro0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Ridnour-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.021150%0.033-0.04250%-0.00
Mikki Moore-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01844%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Ray Allen-0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.02-0.031844%-0.034-0.053100%0.02
Ronald Murray-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.00842%-0.033-0.06367%-0.01
Rashard Lewis-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.001130%-0.091-0.02887%0.03

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Howard0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.040.011859%0.132-0.02367%-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.02-0.021259%0.152-0.06580%0.01
Jason Terry0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.06-0.00-0.021858%0.102-0.022100%0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.030.00858%0.0800.003100%0.01
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.010.02573%0.071-0.015100%0.01
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
DJ Mbenga0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.010.01260%0.021-0.031100%0.00
Keith Van Horn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.02-0.01729%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.08-0.050.021942%-0.103-0.05250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.82.429.417.324.62.425.6122.5
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +16.1%
DAL +9.0%
DAL +17.4%
DAL +7.4%
DAL +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEADALNBASEADALNBA
this game14.116.715.696.8118.3104.4
season15.016.4108.9109.0
opponent15.615.8102.9112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SEA14.013.115.214.414.1
DAL13.717.718.317.616.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mateen Cleaves120.00-0.500.50-0.062-21238.014.2-6.1912.516.8-4.28
Nick Collison4039-0.09-0.410.32-0.152-212313.714.5-0.7916.416.9-0.48
Mikki Moore810-0.11-0.390.270.00-4-151113.914.2-0.2816.516.7-0.21
Damien Wilkins3536-0.13-0.370.230.07-7-12514.314.00.3417.416.21.19
Ronald Murray4140-0.14-0.360.22-0.171-202111.815.9-4.1614.818.1-3.31
Johan Petro2021-0.17-0.330.17-0.14-1-181712.414.6-2.1916.216.8-0.58
Vladimir Radmanovic3029-0.27-0.23-0.040.05-11-8-314.414.00.4516.017.0-0.95
Robert Swift7472-0.33-0.17-0.170.19-18-1-1714.612.42.1916.816.20.58
Rashard Lewis7572-0.39-0.11-0.290.13-18-1-1714.213.90.2316.816.40.34
Luke Ridnour6967-0.41-0.09-0.320.21-212-2314.513.21.3217.015.81.17
Ray Allen7777-0.45-0.05-0.400.14-201-2115.19.55.6117.512.84.68

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Terry74750.430.070.35-0.2523-42716.617.1-0.4614.612.42.14
Jerry Stackhouse53540.420.080.340.07127516.217.3-1.1613.415.0-1.61
Erick Dampier48490.340.160.18-0.01127518.714.54.1715.113.11.95
Josh Howard74750.310.190.13-0.07136717.214.82.3914.114.2-0.10
Dirk Nowitzki71720.260.240.03-0.211631316.916.10.7214.512.81.77
Devin Harris38380.260.240.020.20217-1515.917.2-1.3013.314.7-1.36
Keith Van Horn40400.220.28-0.070.07514-914.718.2-3.4411.915.7-3.79
DeSagana Diop25260.180.32-0.14-0.02712-515.817.0-1.2114.813.90.94
Adrian Griffin40400.080.42-0.34-0.13712-517.316.21.1615.013.41.61
DJ Mbenga210.000.50-0.500.06-221-2312.516.8-4.288.014.2-6.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.76,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 98, CLE 1130.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%
SAC 94, LAC 1090.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.3%
SEA 86, WAS 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.1%