inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 91 Excitement5.4 [753] MVPJonas Valanciunas (TOR): +13.4%
Toronto Raptors 112 Comeback1.8 [866] LVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): -11.0%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.100,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.00-0.01881%0.1010.0000%0.00
Josh Harrellson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gigi Datome0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle Singler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.01367%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Greg Monroe-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.011242%0.012-0.05250%-0.01
Brandon Jennings-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.011947%0.013-0.04978%0.02
Charlie Villanueva-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00422%-0.031-0.0210%-0.01
Rodney Stuckey-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.011341%-0.012-0.04875%-0.01
Will Bynum-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.01729%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Andre Drummond-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02633%-0.012-0.06633%-0.02
Josh Smith-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.001239%-0.061-0.02933%-0.07

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.080.04-0.01980%0.172-0.042100%0.01
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.160.020.05978%0.151-0.029100%0.04
Terrence Ross0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.110.000.011365%0.1000.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.02567%0.0400.002100%0.01
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.02456%0.051-0.021100%0.00
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00844%0.0100.0000%0.00
Steve Novak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Julyan Stone00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Landry Fields0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.06-0.01-0.05839%0.032-0.052100%0.01
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.021336%-0.043-0.072100%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.010.011541%-0.043-0.071681%0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.32.636.116.529.21.834.0143.4
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +32.3%
TOR +16.5%
DET -1.4%
TOR +2.1%
TOR +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETTORNBADETTORNBA
this game12.915.415.189.2109.8105.2
season15.015.9104.7107.2
opponent15.115.0104.2108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET12.110.615.813.212.9
TOR14.116.414.216.815.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope65640.09-0.590.680.032-232512.713.2-0.5315.714.90.78
Gigi Datome440.00-0.500.500.06-2-191717.012.74.3215.015.4-0.40
Josh Harrellson67-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-171315.012.72.2816.415.31.12
Jonas Jerebko78-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-171313.912.81.0817.415.22.16
Greg Monroe6463-0.06-0.440.38-0.153-242712.812.9-0.0215.015.9-0.92
Brandon Jennings7271-0.27-0.23-0.030.06-11-10-112.912.80.1215.415.4-0.01
Charlie Villanueva2423-0.27-0.23-0.040.05-11-10-113.012.80.2515.415.40.07
Josh Smith6768-0.29-0.21-0.080.00-10-11112.912.70.2515.016.1-1.01
Kyle Singler5353-0.29-0.21-0.080.03-11-10-112.313.4-1.1116.514.22.31
Will Bynum2831-0.40-0.10-0.300.22-210-2112.912.80.0614.415.8-1.43
Rodney Stuckey4442-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.08-12-9-312.613.0-0.3815.715.20.52
Andre Drummond7676-0.580.08-0.650.13-243-2712.912.80.0114.916.8-1.91

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrence Ross60610.430.070.36-0.121921715.515.20.2513.212.30.94
DeMar DeRozan76760.390.110.28-0.02147715.415.5-0.1113.112.30.78
Kyle Lowry73730.370.130.25-0.121741314.916.5-1.5412.812.9-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas59580.280.220.060.10615-914.117.1-3.0012.813.0-0.18
John Salmons49490.280.220.060.01912-315.914.90.9511.813.8-1.96
Amir Johnson71710.260.240.02-0.09129315.515.20.3213.311.81.46
Patrick Patterson36380.250.250.00-0.221651116.314.91.3813.412.50.95
Charles Hayes36350.190.31-0.120.02615-916.714.72.0311.213.7-2.47
Greivis Vasquez42410.040.46-0.420.04021-2115.815.10.6912.613.0-0.49
Steve Novak220.000.50-0.50-0.06219-179.515.5-6.0016.512.83.72
Julyan Stone440.000.50-0.50-0.06219-1715.015.4-0.4017.012.74.32
Landry Fields220.000.50-0.50-0.06219-179.515.5-6.0016.512.83.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 81, CHA 970.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.77,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
SAC 99, LAL 1080.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,1,194.9%
SAC 93, LAC 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1,194.8%