NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	97		Excitement	4.0 [1013]		MVP	Marcin Gortat (WAS): +8.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	83		Comeback	1.4 [716]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -14.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	13	58%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jan Vesely	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
John Wall	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	16	46%	0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.02	0.05	18	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	9	35%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.07	5	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.07	19	59%	0.04	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.04	0.03	17	47%	-0.05	5	-0.10	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	26.6	15.7	28.0	1.8	28.3	126.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +22.7%

WAS +5.8%

WAS +3.2%

WAS +16.8%

WAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	15.5	15.9	15.1	105.4	91.2	105.2
season	15.1	15.7		103.8	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.1	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.6	15.1	15.6	16.8	15.5
CHA	16.0	16.8	15.7	15.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	58	58	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.12	24	-10	34	15.5	15.6	-0.13	16.1	15.7	0.44
Trevor Booker	44	44	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.03	19	-5	24	15.2	15.9	-0.72	14.8	17.0	-2.14
Marcin Gortat	73	71	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-3	20	15.4	16.1	-0.72	15.9	16.0	-0.07
Trevor Ariza	46	45	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	-1	16	15.5	15.6	-0.15	16.1	15.8	0.24
John Wall	61	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	1	12	15.6	15.5	0.12	15.6	16.6	-0.98
Garrett Temple	31	30	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	13	-12	15.5	15.6	-0.12	16.6	15.6	0.98
Martell Webster	59	58	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	18	-22	15.4	15.8	-0.35	15.8	16.2	-0.37
Nene	29	29	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	17	-20	15.7	15.5	0.23	16.4	15.7	0.74
Jan Vesely	38	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	19	-24	16.1	15.1	1.02	16.9	15.3	1.59
Otto Porter	21	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	21	-28	16.2	15.3	0.85	15.6	16.0	-0.42

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	42	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.18	6	-20	26	14.1	17.5	-3.39	15.1	15.9	-0.85
Bismack Biyombo	26	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-16	18	16.3	15.8	0.56	15.2	15.7	-0.42
Ramon Sessions	57	58	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.18	5	-19	24	16.1	15.7	0.38	15.4	15.8	-0.41
Josh McRoberts	49	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-6	-2	17.2	14.4	2.82	16.1	15.0	1.13
Cody Zeller	20	21	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-2	-10	17.4	15.5	1.86	13.3	16.2	-2.85
Chris Douglas-Roberts	57	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	-1	-12	16.1	15.7	0.38	16.2	14.4	1.78
Al Jefferson	65	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.01	-16	2	-18	15.8	16.3	-0.56	15.7	15.2	0.42
Gerald Henderson	66	66	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.05	-19	5	-24	15.8	16.3	-0.46	15.7	15.2	0.42
Kemba Walker	73	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	1	-16	15.6	17.3	-1.66	15.6	15.4	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.24,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 105, UTA 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
SAS 116, MEM 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
CHA 108, DAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%