NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	115		Excitement	11.2 [44]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +31.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	111		Comeback	14.7 [78]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -26.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.28,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.14,0.32	0.23	0.11	0.02	32	62%	0.55	3	-0.24	13	92%	0.04
Jeremy Lamb	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.02,0.2	-0.02	0.22	0.01	7	47%	0.25	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.10
Reggie Jackson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.09	0.00	6	62%	0.15	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.06
Derek Fisher	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	72%	0.14	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Steven Adams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	83%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	7	36%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	13	46%	-0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.15	0.13	0.00	22	60%	0.29	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.14,0.27,0.24	0.24	0.05	0.19	-0.00	21	61%	0.52	7	-0.27	7	43%	-0.67
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	14	55%	0.08	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	14	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.05
Robbie Hummel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.06	-0.19	0.01	13	41%	-0.18	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	30.3	15.4	27.1	1.8	44.0	146.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +12.7%

OKC +42.5%

OKC +32.0%

MIN -32.4%

MIN -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MIN	NBA	OKC	MIN	NBA
this game	12.9	13.9	15.1	107.5	102.8	105.2
season	14.4	14.6		107.8	107.3
opponent	14.5	15.4		104.7	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	11.9	12.2	14.5	13.0	12.9
MIN	13.9	13.5	13.7	14.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	59	61	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.19	16	-12	28	12.8	12.9	-0.10	13.8	14.1	-0.24
Derek Fisher	54	54	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.20	15	-11	26	13.1	12.7	0.40	14.1	13.7	0.37
Nick Collison	49	49	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	-13	30	12.8	12.9	-0.19	14.9	13.1	1.74
Kevin Durant	95	96	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.41	0	4	-4	12.9	12.2	0.69	13.8	14.6	-0.74
Perry Jones	21	21	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	-6	16	13.5	12.7	0.83	16.0	13.4	2.57
Serge Ibaka	73	73	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.53	-11	15	-26	13.0	12.5	0.57	13.6	14.7	-1.08
Reggie Jackson	53	56	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.36	-7	11	-18	12.7	13.1	-0.40	13.3	14.6	-1.29
Steven Adams	35	36	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.12	1	3	-2	12.3	13.1	-0.77	13.4	14.2	-0.76
Thabo Sefolosha	48	48	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.14	-10	14	-24	12.9	12.8	0.10	13.8	14.0	-0.24
Kendrick Perkins	48	46	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.14	-11	15	-26	12.6	13.1	-0.43	13.9	13.9	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robbie Hummel	18	17	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.17	-1	-3	2	13.2	14.1	-0.91	12.5	12.9	-0.46
Ricky Rubio	78	76	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.36	8	-12	20	13.4	15.3	-1.95	12.9	12.9	-0.02
Nikola Pekovic	84	84	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.31	6	-10	16	14.2	12.9	1.30	12.8	13.0	-0.12
Corey Brewer	88	87	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-3	2	14.1	13.3	0.71	13.3	11.0	2.23
Kevin Martin	89	89	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.51	7	-11	18	13.7	15.2	-1.49	13.0	12.3	0.63
Dante Cunningham	35	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	6	-16	13.9	13.9	-0.06	12.7	12.9	-0.27
Jose Juan Barea	30	33	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	8	-20	15.3	13.4	1.95	12.1	13.2	-1.07
Alexey Shved	20	18	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	9	-22	14.5	13.8	0.70	12.3	13.0	-0.63
Kevin Love	98	97	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	13.8	14.8	-0.96	12.9	12.5	0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.83,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 103, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.69,0.84,0.77,0.37,0	91.7%
LAL 97, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.26,0	91.6%
UTA 88, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.28,0	91.4%