inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 104 Excitement2.1 [1288] MVPDamian Lillard (POR): +12.9%
Portland Trail Blazers 134 Comeback1.1 [1263] LVPDorell Wright (POR): -7.0%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gerald Henderson0.050,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.100.000.05967%0.0500.00683%-0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.170.000.13887%0.041-0.00786%0.00
Al Jefferson0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.041753%0.021-0.01250%-0.00
Anthony Tolliver0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jannero Pargo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05567%0.0000.002100%0.00
Jeff Adrien0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.001-0.00367%0.00
Ramon Sessions-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.020.000.04854%0.001-0.011080%0.00
Cody Zeller-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.04631%-0.011-0.01475%0.01
Kemba Walker-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.090.00-0.051027%-0.041-0.002100%-0.00
Josh McRoberts-0.060,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.090.00-0.031035%-0.013-0.0500%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damian Lillard0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.200.000.071392%0.142-0.0100%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.210.000.101193%0.132-0.02580%0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.00-0.02667%0.0700.0000%0.00
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.000.00983%0.093-0.0200%0.00
Robin Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.011067%0.063-0.0210%-0.01
Meyers Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00757%0.0110.0000%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.031338%0.0100.0000%0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Allen Crabbe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Thomas Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04371%0.0000.001100%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.100.000.105100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Freeland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.00743%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.050.000.02650%-0.023-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.41.729.715.023.51.827.3120.5
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +46.6%
CHA -5.1%
POR +9.5%
CHA -2.5%
POR +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAPORNBACHAPORNBA
this game14.115.115.1105.1136.7105.2
season15.715.1102.4109.6
opponent14.815.1106.5103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA16.013.614.912.214.1
POR14.014.616.415.515.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jannero Pargo14140.00-0.500.50-0.062-323410.714.7-3.9718.314.63.69
Jeff Adrien880.00-0.500.500.09-3-272410.414.5-4.0818.014.93.13
Cody Zeller3534-0.08-0.420.35-0.080-303013.214.6-1.3815.415.00.40
Chris Douglas-Roberts5352-0.10-0.400.290.07-6-241812.416.1-3.7515.215.10.11
Bismack Biyombo4343-0.14-0.360.220.24-13-17412.315.5-3.1714.815.3-0.51
Ramon Sessions6260-0.22-0.280.060.19-14-16213.315.5-2.1414.815.6-0.75
Gerald Henderson4848-0.34-0.16-0.180.39-25-5-2015.712.73.0015.215.10.09
Al Jefferson5655-0.36-0.14-0.220.14-17-13-415.512.33.1715.314.80.51
Kemba Walker5858-0.36-0.14-0.230.13-17-13-414.713.21.5015.214.90.29
Josh McRoberts5656-0.42-0.08-0.350.37-27-3-2415.212.72.5214.615.9-1.33
Anthony Tolliver6262-0.47-0.03-0.440.41-300-3015.412.03.4314.516.2-1.69

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damian Lillard61610.430.070.37-0.242371614.815.7-0.9814.413.60.79
Robin Lopez51510.410.090.31-0.332552014.915.4-0.5416.012.13.87
LaMarcus Aldridge56570.350.150.20-0.151713415.215.00.2614.713.31.41
Nicolas Batum54550.350.150.19-0.091515015.315.00.3014.913.21.73
Wesley Matthews52520.340.160.17-0.101515015.414.80.6815.912.13.80
Mo Williams44460.200.30-0.09-0.291713414.016.1-2.0814.313.90.38
Dorell Wright35350.180.32-0.15-0.261515013.516.0-2.4613.714.4-0.72
Meyers Leonard42420.150.35-0.20-0.231317-415.015.2-0.2613.314.7-1.41
Joel Freeland29300.090.41-0.310.03228-2614.615.4-0.8112.514.8-2.28
Thomas Robinson18180.000.50-0.50-0.09327-2416.814.72.0311.414.7-3.27
Will Barton18180.000.50-0.50-0.09327-2416.814.72.0311.414.7-3.27
Earl Watson15150.000.50-0.50-0.03129-2817.614.72.9310.814.7-3.91
Allen Crabbe15150.000.50-0.50-0.03129-2817.614.72.9310.814.7-3.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 79, CLE 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%
GSW 100, ORL 1200.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
GSW 90, HOU 1180.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%