NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	82		Excitement	5.1 [823]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (CHI): +10.3%
Chicago Bulls	94		Comeback	1.6 [810]		LVP	Jeff Green (BOS): -17.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.03	0.03	11	69%	0.14	5	-0.11	10	80%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	10	41%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Courtney Lee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	12	44%	0.03	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vitor Faverani	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.02	8	37%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.04	0.03	10	35%	-0.12	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.02
Jeff Green	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.06	0.01	18	31%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.05	0.02	7	69%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	12	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	13	53%	0.09	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	16	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.03	0.00	7	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	13	40%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	6	44%	-0.00	4	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	35.8	15.7	24.7	1.8	32.4	136.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +44.9%

CHI +3.1%

BOS -6.8%

CHI +15.4%

BOS -6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	14.2	15.8	15.1	84.5	98.9	105.2
season	15.4	16.3		101.2	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.0		99.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.7	14.7	16.7	12.1	14.2
CHI	15.1	14.1	16.8	17.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	19	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-17	22	11.3	14.9	-3.62	13.2	16.4	-3.17
Phil Pressey	16	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-9	6	14.1	14.2	-0.12	19.3	15.1	4.24
Kris Humphries	53	52	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-10	8	14.1	14.4	-0.29	14.6	17.2	-2.55
Jared Sullinger	59	58	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-8	4	14.6	13.7	0.85	17.7	12.8	4.83
Gerald Wallace	35	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-10	8	14.8	13.9	0.90	15.7	15.8	-0.16
Avery Bradley	62	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-11	10	14.4	13.9	0.53	15.1	17.0	-1.89
Jeff Green	62	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-2	-8	13.9	14.8	-0.90	15.8	15.7	0.16
Vitor Faverani	19	19	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	1	-14	16.1	13.8	2.34	12.5	16.6	-4.14
Courtney Lee	39	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	1	-14	13.8	14.5	-0.72	16.5	15.3	1.23
Jordan Crawford	77	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-5	-2	14.3	13.9	0.41	15.2	18.1	-2.83
Brandon Bass	44	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-2	-8	14.4	14.1	0.29	17.2	14.6	2.55

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	68	68	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.06	19	-7	26	16.2	14.7	1.47	13.9	15.0	-1.05
Luol Deng	55	57	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-4	20	16.2	15.2	1.06	14.1	14.3	-0.21
Carlos Boozer	60	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	6	0	15.0	17.1	-2.10	14.1	14.4	-0.23
Jimmy Butler	65	69	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	3	6	15.8	15.9	-0.11	13.9	14.9	-0.99
D.J. Augustin	52	53	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	6	0	16.2	15.3	0.89	13.0	15.7	-2.75
Kirk Hinrich	57	57	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	3	6	15.7	16.0	-0.31	14.8	13.4	1.45
Taj Gibson	52	53	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	7	-2	15.9	15.7	0.17	15.2	13.1	2.04
Tony Snell	12	13	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	12	-12	15.6	15.8	-0.24	13.5	14.3	-0.88
Mike Dunleavy	45	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	16	-20	15.3	16.3	-0.99	15.4	13.3	2.12
Nazr Mohammed	9	9	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.02	-6	18	-24	16.2	15.7	0.48	13.4	14.3	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 86, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MIL 94, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.6,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
TOR 98, BKN 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,0.96,1	94.3%