NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	86		Excitement	5.1 [780]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +11.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Comeback	1.2 [1163]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -20.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	-0.01	-0.00	14	70%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.02	12	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Dorell Wright	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	60%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Joel Anthony	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	7	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.06	0.04	26	44%	-0.03	6	-0.17	2	50%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.03	0.05	16	68%	0.20	4	-0.09	21	81%	0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.03	5	73%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	6	63%	0.09	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	48%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	60%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.6	3.7	31.3	19.7	28.2	2.7	28.2	145.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +27.5%

CLE +19.2%

MIA -0.7%

CLE +2.7%

CLE +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CLE	NBA	MIA	CLE	NBA
this game	17.1	15.8	15.3	98.9	115.9	106.0
season	16.2	16.1		104.4	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.4		103.3	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.2	15.6	17.5	18.3	17.1
CLE	14.8	15.0	15.2	18.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daequan Cook	7	9	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.12	7	-23	30	16.7	17.1	-0.42	16.4	15.7	0.70
Jamaal Magloire	11	10	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-18	20	13.5	17.6	-4.18	21.1	15.1	5.96
Udonis Haslem	31	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-13	10	17.5	16.9	0.64	17.7	14.8	2.87
Carlos Arroyo	21	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-15	14	16.1	17.4	-1.27	19.8	14.5	5.27
Joel Anthony	29	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-15	14	18.2	16.5	1.71	14.9	16.3	-1.39
Rafer Alston	29	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-5	-6	16.1	17.6	-1.50	12.3	17.6	-5.34
Quentin Richardson	51	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-4	-8	16.8	17.5	-0.72	15.7	16.0	-0.35
Dorell Wright	64	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-5	-6	17.8	15.2	2.62	16.3	14.5	1.81
Jermaine O'Neal	44	45	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	2	-20	17.6	16.6	1.03	15.5	16.2	-0.72
Dwyane Wade	72	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	0	-16	17.4	15.7	1.74	14.8	20.4	-5.65
Michael Beasley	76	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	0	-16	16.7	19.5	-2.80	15.7	16.2	-0.50

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	74	74	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.06	20	-4	24	15.0	20.3	-5.31	17.4	15.2	2.20
Jamario Moon	41	40	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	6	4	18.2	13.8	4.40	17.8	16.5	1.29
Daniel Gibson	39	39	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	7	2	17.3	14.7	2.63	17.7	16.6	1.07
Shaquille O'Neal	43	44	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	8	0	14.1	17.4	-3.28	16.7	17.5	-0.76
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	37	36	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.10	12	4	8	17.4	14.7	2.69	18.7	15.9	2.81
JJ Hickson	49	48	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	12	-8	13.6	18.6	-4.93	16.2	18.2	-2.00
Anderson Varejao	43	42	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.05	10	6	4	18.4	13.3	5.09	17.5	16.7	0.77
Anthony Parker	49	50	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	9	-2	15.9	15.7	0.13	16.5	17.9	-1.47
Jawad Williams	33	31	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	10	-4	12.9	17.6	-4.70	16.3	17.5	-1.21
Darnell Jackson	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	18.2	15.7	2.55	17.0	17.1	-0.11
Danny Green	28	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	20	-24	15.9	15.8	0.16	15.8	17.7	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 92, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MIL 94, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.6,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
BOS 82, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%