NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	98		Excitement	5.7 [690]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BKN): +21.1%
Brooklyn Nets	102		Comeback	1.5 [868]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (BKN): -6.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07	0.02	0.07	0.02	22	51%	0.14	3	-0.07	15	87%	0.06
John Salmons	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	6	50%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.03	4	83%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Patrick Patterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,-0.03	0.14	-0.09	0.08	7	94%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.19
Landry Fields	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.03	0.05	9	62%	0.04	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Terrence Ross	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.09	-0.00	9	72%	0.24	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.06
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.18	0.18	0.18	0.04	0.04	17	76%	0.21	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.01	3	86%	0.12	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	14	59%	0.15	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	40%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	3	37%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	4.5	39.0	17.5	29.5	3.7	53.4	174.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +36.9%

BKN +2.6%

TOR -12.3%

BKN +19.4%

BKN +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BKN	NBA	TOR	BKN	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.1	104.3	109.7	105.2
season	15.9	15.7		107.2	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.1		106.7	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.8	16.0	15.9	13.3	15.3
BKN	16.2	13.4	15.4	17.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	1	0	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-4	4	17.0	15.2	1.76	0.0	15.5	-15.55
Tyler Hansbrough	19	19	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.06	0	-4	4	14.2	15.5	-1.31	14.9	15.7	-0.82
Patrick Patterson	58	57	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.31	7	-11	18	13.8	17.7	-3.91	16.5	14.1	2.39
Greivis Vasquez	49	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.43	10	-14	24	13.8	16.9	-3.13	17.5	13.4	4.12
Landry Fields	17	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	0	-4	14.5	15.4	-0.96	10.5	16.7	-6.21
Kyle Lowry	74	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-7	10	15.6	14.1	1.40	15.1	17.1	-2.04
John Salmons	26	23	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	3	-10	14.3	15.6	-1.26	14.9	15.8	-0.90
Jonas Valanciunas	54	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-4	4	15.6	14.8	0.84	16.5	14.3	2.18
DeMar DeRozan	75	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.39	1	-5	6	15.7	13.5	2.17	16.1	13.1	3.02
Terrence Ross	41	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	11	-26	16.6	14.2	2.40	15.4	15.7	-0.24
Amir Johnson	56	56	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	11	-26	16.8	13.0	3.79	13.9	18.0	-4.03

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andray Blatche	35	35	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-7	18	17.1	14.6	2.51	14.6	15.6	-1.04
Deron Williams	69	72	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.41	4	0	4	15.2	16.6	-1.45	15.4	14.9	0.45
Paul Pierce	67	67	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.36	3	1	2	14.8	17.4	-2.60	15.2	15.3	-0.11
Andrei Kirilenko	34	33	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-9	22	15.1	15.8	-0.63	15.7	15.0	0.73
Joe Johnson	76	77	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	4	-4	15.2	17.1	-1.85	15.5	13.9	1.60
Shaun Livingston	58	58	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.30	-5	9	-14	16.1	14.6	1.57	14.9	15.9	-0.98
Marcus Thornton	13	13	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	0	4	16.2	15.4	0.79	17.3	14.9	2.38
Kevin Garnett	33	34	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	2	0	12.9	17.0	-4.09	15.3	15.2	0.01
Mirza Teletovic	26	27	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.03	1	3	-2	17.4	14.8	2.60	15.3	15.2	0.11
Alan Anderson	29	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	8	-12	16.3	15.2	1.11	13.5	16.0	-2.51
Mason Plumlee	25	25	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.14	-9	13	-22	16.8	15.1	1.77	16.2	14.9	1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 89, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
BOS 92, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.7%
TOR 80, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%