NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	95		Excitement	6.2 [579]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): +14.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	91		Comeback	2.2 [292]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -37.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.02	0.03	10	76%	0.20	2	-0.06	14	86%	0.01
Tony Snell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.09	0.00	8	50%	0.15	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Carlos Boozer	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	16	58%	0.10	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	54%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	9	35%	-0.01	4	-0.08	5	80%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.11	0.01	13	41%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	7	72%	0.11	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	4	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.09	19	54%	0.00	1	-0.01	10	80%	-0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.34,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.38	-0.18	-0.20	-0.01	15	31%	-0.16	5	-0.22	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.7	30.6	15.6	28.2	1.8	40.2	141.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +45.2%

CHI +1.1%

MEM -9.7%

CHI +10.9%

CHI +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MEM	NBA	CHI	MEM	NBA
this game	15.2	14.9	15.1	97.9	96.8	105.2
season	16.3	16.4		101.1	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.3		103.4	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.3	13.4	15.1	15.2	15.2
MEM	14.6	14.8	15.6	14.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	58	56	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.26	13	-9	22	15.8	14.3	1.48	16.1	13.3	2.81
Joakim Noah	62	62	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.32	7	-3	10	15.4	14.9	0.43	15.8	13.3	2.46
Mike Dunleavy	51	49	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.08	12	-8	20	15.8	14.6	1.20	16.0	13.8	2.14
Jimmy Butler	84	80	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	5	-6	15.2	15.1	0.16	14.9	14.9	0.01
Taj Gibson	63	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	5	-6	14.0	17.4	-3.43	14.6	15.4	-0.82
Carlos Boozer	60	60	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	4	-4	16.6	12.9	3.67	14.4	15.9	-1.53
D.J. Augustin	61	60	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.41	-8	12	-20	14.5	16.4	-1.82	13.8	16.9	-3.14
Nazr Mohammed	9	9	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	2	0	13.2	15.4	-2.20	14.9	14.9	-0.05
Tony Snell	37	37	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.02	-4	8	-12	14.6	15.6	-1.05	13.7	15.7	-2.03

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	39	38	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-7	10	14.5	15.3	-0.77	16.6	14.4	2.20
Kosta Koufos	58	60	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-8	12	15.2	14.5	0.71	15.5	14.7	0.79
Jon Leuer	7	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-1	-2	14.7	15.0	-0.24	13.7	15.3	-1.62
James Johnson	48	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-4	4	14.4	15.5	-1.15	14.7	15.8	-1.17
Mike Conley	70	74	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.36	5	-9	14	14.9	15.0	-0.03	15.7	13.8	1.88
Mike Miller	34	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-5	6	14.2	15.3	-1.10	13.6	16.1	-2.51
Ed Davis	47	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-5	6	14.8	15.0	-0.21	14.5	16.0	-1.52
Jerryd Bayless	41	42	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.19	-10	6	-16	14.8	15.0	-0.23	13.0	16.9	-3.95
Zach Randolph	63	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.27	-9	5	-14	15.1	14.5	0.58	15.8	14.2	1.56
Tony Allen	63	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.20	-12	8	-20	15.8	13.2	2.55	16.6	12.4	4.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.22,0.18,0.33,0.42,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.22,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.18,0.24,0.17,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	92.8%
SAC 111, BOS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.02,0	92.2%
CHI 81, MIL 72	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.21,0.1,0,0	92.1%