inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 86 Excitement2.6 [1232] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +15.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder 117 Comeback1.0 [1023] LVPJeremy Lin (HOU): -10.0%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chandler Parsons0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.021256%0.0700.003100%0.01
Francisco Garcia0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.02557%0.0310.00425%0.00
Omri Casspi0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.00-0.00-0.031254%0.032-0.00450%-0.01
Aaron Brooks0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.070.000.061457%0.0100.002100%0.01
Isaiah Canaan0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%0.0000.002100%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Donatas Motiejunas-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Terrence Jones-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
James Harden-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.03935%-0.032-0.01580%-0.00
Dwight Howard-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.120.00-0.061327%-0.041-0.01714%-0.04
Jeremy Lin-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.14-0.00-0.04927%-0.083-0.02450%-0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.220.010.071777%0.192-0.03989%0.01
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.10-0.000.011267%0.0900.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.00-0.021059%0.0800.002100%0.01
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.160.000.101096%0.093-0.023100%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01350%0.0200.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.070.01-0.081136%0.032-0.0100%0.00
Andre Roberson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Gomes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02475%0.0010.0000%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03540%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Perry Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.040.000.05567%-0.0100.0020%-0.02
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.61.829.815.025.31.726.3124.5
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +51.5%
OKC +2.8%
HOU -1.7%
HOU -4.0%
OKC +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUOKCNBAHOUOKCNBA
this game15.414.015.188.7118.2105.2
season14.314.4109.5107.8
opponent15.415.2102.9105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU16.915.515.214.115.4
OKC12.613.314.815.214.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronnie Brewer13140.00-0.500.500.18-6-251913.015.8-2.8114.813.80.95
Isaiah Canaan1616-0.00-0.500.500.20-7-241713.315.9-2.5414.713.80.93
Donatas Motiejunas3234-0.02-0.480.470.25-9-221314.815.7-0.9314.213.80.40
Francisco Garcia4245-0.05-0.450.400.25-10-211114.815.9-1.1814.213.70.50
Omri Casspi6264-0.06-0.440.380.12-6-251915.115.9-0.8013.714.4-0.62
Aaron Brooks4647-0.08-0.420.35-0.05-1-302915.815.10.6614.313.70.62
Terrence Jones4645-0.32-0.18-0.140.21-18-13-515.215.7-0.5313.914.0-0.07
James Harden6162-0.44-0.06-0.390.14-20-11-915.615.20.4213.614.5-0.91
Jeremy Lin4949-0.46-0.04-0.430.36-28-3-2516.414.51.8913.714.2-0.47
Chandler Parsons6869-0.530.03-0.560.14-23-8-1515.914.31.5513.614.8-1.24
Dwight Howard5050-0.540.04-0.590.25-27-4-2316.314.61.7114.213.70.55

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant78770.54-0.040.59-0.252742313.914.3-0.4015.913.42.50
Thabo Sefolosha60590.490.010.48-0.152291314.113.80.2515.814.81.01
Kendrick Perkins46460.480.020.45-0.262561914.313.60.7115.715.20.54
Serge Ibaka56560.400.100.30-0.131813513.714.3-0.5915.215.7-0.52
Reggie Jackson53530.380.120.26-0.121714314.013.90.1515.415.5-0.12
Derek Fisher34320.090.41-0.32-0.09625-1913.714.1-0.3616.315.01.31
Jeremy Lamb53520.080.42-0.34-0.211021-1113.814.2-0.4215.815.00.81
Nick Collison27260.080.42-0.35-0.07526-2113.614.1-0.5716.115.20.93
Andre Roberson16150.000.50-0.50-0.21724-1714.713.80.9312.815.9-3.11
Ryan Gomes14130.000.50-0.50-0.18625-1914.813.80.9513.015.8-2.81
Steven Adams14130.000.50-0.50-0.18625-1914.813.80.9513.015.8-2.81
Perry Jones4443-0.030.53-0.57-0.21625-1913.714.2-0.4814.915.9-0.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 93, DEN 1380.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
UTA 104, POR 1250.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
PHI 94, BKN 1300.5,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%