inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 93 Excitement2.6 [1239] MVPGary Harris (DEN): +12.5%
Denver Nuggets 138 Comeback1.0 [1298] LVPTrae Young (ATL): -6.7%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kent Bazemore0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.00-0.01867%0.101-0.025100%0.02
Vince Carter0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.110.000.08692%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kevin Huerter0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.041048%0.032-0.0010%0.00
Omari Spellman0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.090.01-0.101531%0.031-0.012100%0.01
Daniel Hamilton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05217%0.0010.00250%0.00
Alex Poythress-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03861%0.011-0.01250%0.00
Miles Plumlee-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05337%0.022-0.02250%-0.01
Jeremy Lin-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.000.011059%0.044-0.05771%0.01
Tyler Dorsey-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01527%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Alex Len-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.03640%0.002-0.02367%-0.01
DeAndre' Bembry-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.090.00-0.06812%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Trae Young-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.19-0.00-0.121125%-0.035-0.042100%0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Harris0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.130.000.01986%0.131-0.00367%-0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.00-0.051061%0.111-0.013100%0.01
Juancho Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.190.000.111281%0.091-0.01771%0.01
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.000.01-0.07778%0.105-0.02475%-0.01
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.000.051367%0.071-0.011100%-0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.00-0.051150%0.062-0.03250%-0.01
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.001448%0.0210.00367%0.00
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.00944%0.0100.0000%0.00
Torrey Craig00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyler Lydon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.063100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00375%-0.013-0.012100%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.52.326.915.028.22.328.4130.4
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +44.0%
ATL -6.5%
DEN +1.8%
DEN +9.0%
DEN +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLDENNBAATLDENNBA
this game13.313.314.386.1126.6109.3
season13.614.8107.2112.0
opponent14.613.9108.1112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL13.113.114.512.413.3
DEN14.613.113.212.413.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Daniel Hamilton19200.00-0.500.500.32-11-342311.513.6-2.1012.613.4-0.84
Tyler Dorsey4845-0.07-0.430.360.11-6-393312.413.9-1.5212.314.0-1.70
Alex Poythress5553-0.14-0.360.220.18-11-342312.813.8-0.9713.613.00.55
Vince Carter3538-0.17-0.330.170.24-14-311713.313.20.0813.113.4-0.36
Jeremy Lin5656-0.20-0.300.110.60-27-18-913.213.4-0.2012.913.7-0.84
Kevin Huerter6564-0.20-0.300.100.39-20-25512.813.9-1.0412.813.9-1.11
Omari Spellman6464-0.23-0.270.040.56-27-18-912.714.1-1.4412.814.0-1.22
Miles Plumlee3636-0.23-0.270.040.47-24-21-314.612.61.9411.814.0-2.17
Alex Len2627-0.23-0.270.040.18-14-311713.813.10.7716.212.33.86
DeAndre' Bembry3134-0.27-0.23-0.040.43-24-21-315.712.33.4814.512.71.77
Kent Bazemore4446-0.38-0.12-0.260.35-25-20-514.112.71.3714.412.51.95
Trae Young6162-0.38-0.12-0.270.26-22-23113.113.4-0.2613.612.90.65

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juancho Hernangomez71680.55-0.050.59-0.8046-14713.113.6-0.4914.411.33.03
Paul Millsap56540.490.010.49-0.5335102512.713.9-1.2814.512.02.44
Gary Harris61580.480.020.47-0.5134112313.513.00.5514.312.12.16
Nikola Jokic55540.460.040.41-0.633782913.812.71.0814.612.02.59
Jamal Murray54540.270.230.05-0.251827-912.613.9-1.2613.413.10.33
Monte Morris63650.240.26-0.02-0.432322114.012.31.7712.913.7-0.81
Trey Lyles62630.120.38-0.27-0.271332-1913.513.00.5412.214.8-2.57
Torrey Craig990.000.50-0.500.12-449-5313.913.20.669.113.6-4.53
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell15140.000.50-0.50-0.351233-2111.813.5-1.7212.113.4-1.28
Tyler Lydon17160.000.50-0.50-0.351233-2111.913.5-1.6612.213.4-1.18
Malik Beasley5456-0.040.54-0.59-0.22639-3313.313.30.0612.014.6-2.58
Mason Plumlee2829-0.060.56-0.630.14-752-5913.813.10.7211.413.9-2.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 79, OKC 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
WAS 78, BOS 1110.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
TOR 82, SAS 1100.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%