inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 99 Excitement4.8 [866] MVPEd Davis (MEM): +12.5%
Memphis Grizzlies 120 Comeback1.8 [715] LVPMike Conley (MEM): -7.4%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wilson Chandler0.050,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.01-0.011456%0.081-0.03667%-0.00
Jordan Hamilton0.050,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.010.00867%0.0410.002100%0.01
Andre Miller0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.01180%0.0300.00367%-0.01
JJ Hickson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.00956%0.0200.0000%0.00
Anthony Randolph0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.02233%0.0000.002100%0.01
Ty Lawson0.000,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.011462%0.166-0.164100%0.01
Quincy Miller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Evan Fournier0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nate Robinson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00869%0.094-0.1000%0.00
Randy Foye-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.07-0.000.08573%-0.0210.00580%0.00
Kenneth Faried-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00330%-0.0400.00475%-0.00
Timofey Mozgov-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.02350%-0.021-0.022100%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.110.020.01871%0.1300.00862%-0.02
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.130.020.05782%0.0900.003100%0.01
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.020.031559%0.0700.004100%0.02
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.000.041068%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Jon Leuer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00383%0.0500.0000%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.04-0.01-0.061043%0.032-0.021100%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.01-0.051029%0.0100.0010%-0.02
Jamaal Franklin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Nick Calathes00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.09-0.010.08692%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.020.01756%0.001-0.03250%-0.01
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.000.031444%-0.032-0.05475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.428.616.327.42.531.7130.9
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +14.4%
DEN -6.1%
MEM +22.9%
MEM +17.5%
MEM +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMEMNBADENMEMNBA
this game15.416.615.1110.0133.3105.2
season14.016.4104.5104.5
opponent15.214.9103.4106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.213.716.615.615.4
MEM17.315.816.916.416.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Evan Fournier880.00-0.500.50-0.124-252913.915.6-1.7218.516.42.13
Quincy Miller1919-0.05-0.450.40-0.236-273315.215.5-0.3618.216.12.10
Anthony Randolph2019-0.12-0.380.25-0.09-1-201915.615.40.2016.516.6-0.04
Randy Foye2626-0.13-0.370.240.13-9-12315.115.6-0.4616.116.7-0.62
Jordan Hamilton5151-0.16-0.340.190.22-13-8-514.516.7-2.2016.516.6-0.02
Kenneth Faried2223-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-5-161116.715.01.6416.916.40.48
Andre Miller2020-0.25-0.250.010.02-9-12317.314.92.3915.916.7-0.78
Wilson Chandler6364-0.25-0.25-0.010.25-17-4-1315.515.30.1616.716.20.46
Timofey Mozgov6260-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.09-8-13515.116.2-1.1216.816.10.63
Ty Lawson6364-0.33-0.17-0.160.26-20-1-1915.216.1-0.9516.317.2-0.95
Nate Robinson3131-0.34-0.16-0.190.01-12-9-317.414.43.0116.116.8-0.75
JJ Hickson6565-0.35-0.15-0.210.26-210-2115.216.1-0.9416.317.3-1.06

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tayshaun Prince43430.400.100.310.05129317.116.11.0316.414.61.82
Tony Allen49500.350.150.200.09912-317.016.00.9815.815.00.80
Zach Randolph57570.340.160.18-0.07147717.115.71.3615.415.5-0.11
Mike Conley58560.310.190.12-0.221831516.816.20.5715.715.00.76
Kosta Koufos50480.300.200.100.12615-916.916.10.8715.215.7-0.42
Jerryd Bayless39410.240.26-0.01-0.051011-116.017.0-0.9415.515.40.17
James Johnson44450.220.28-0.07-0.22156915.517.6-2.1514.216.6-2.40
Ed Davis42440.200.30-0.10-0.24156916.017.0-0.9515.915.00.86
Mike Miller41410.160.34-0.18-0.19129315.517.4-1.9215.215.7-0.46
Jamaal Franklin540.000.50-0.500.06-223-2518.416.41.9510.515.7-5.17
Nick Calathes540.000.50-0.500.06-223-2518.416.41.9510.515.7-5.17
Jon Leuer1717-0.020.52-0.540.04-223-2517.216.40.7716.515.21.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.64,0.73,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 93, SAS 1040.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
SAC 79, NJN 930.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.8%
UTA 82, MEM 920.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,194.6%