inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 92 Excitement6.5 [522] MVPFrancisco Garcia (HOU): +10.5%
Houston Rockets 100 Comeback7.8 [350] LVPMike Conley (MEM): -11.2%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Johnson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.010.00867%0.081-0.02250%-0.01
Jerryd Bayless0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.03-0.00750%0.0500.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.050.050.010.01764%0.0500.0000%0.00
Ed Davis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jon Leuer-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.040.00650%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Mike Miller-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02935%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Kosta Koufos-0.060,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.01542%-0.012-0.05250%-0.01
Zach Randolph-0.090,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09-0.05-0.040.012044%-0.043-0.051258%-0.05
Tony Allen-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.060.001136%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Mike Conley-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.020.011437%-0.052-0.06250%-0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.060.00475%0.1000.0000%0.00
Terrence Jones0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.12-0.000.021465%0.0900.0030%-0.04
Jeremy Lin0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.080.08-0.010.120.021356%0.174-0.086100%0.03
James Harden0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.080.080.090.000.02963%0.172-0.082588%0.10
Donatas Motiejunas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.060.00450%0.0700.0000%0.00
Chandler Parsons0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.040.040.010.01-0.021250%0.102-0.07683%0.03
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.01743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Omri Casspi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.02520%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.13.430.917.727.53.541.3150.4
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +48.8%
HOU +28.7%
MEM -21.8%
MEM -5.8%
HOU +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMHOUNBAMEMHOUNBA
this game16.714.915.1101.1109.9105.2
season16.414.3104.5109.5
opponent15.215.2105.4103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM18.017.215.216.616.7
HOU15.514.917.512.214.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ed Davis24250.34-0.841.18-0.0413-213416.316.9-0.5516.414.42.00
Kosta Koufos42430.14-0.640.780.024-121617.316.21.1115.914.11.80
Tony Allen3738-0.10-0.400.30-0.04-2-6417.816.01.8116.413.82.55
Mike Conley7270-0.24-0.260.01-0.18-2-6416.318.2-1.8615.413.12.30
Jerryd Bayless3232-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.06-7-1-616.516.8-0.3214.215.3-1.07
Tayshaun Prince4749-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.08-91-1016.517.0-0.4715.114.70.32
James Johnson5655-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.29-3-5216.117.8-1.7714.116.1-1.94
Mike Miller4142-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.24-5-3-216.616.8-0.2313.216.4-3.15
Jon Leuer2321-0.570.07-0.63-0.18-135-1817.416.50.8813.715.3-1.56
Zach Randolph8180-0.690.19-0.88-0.22-168-2417.014.92.0614.716.5-1.75

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Donatas Motiejunas45450.74-0.240.970.2417-92614.115.7-1.6316.417.1-0.75
Francisco Garcia34330.64-0.140.780.379-11012.616.3-3.6616.816.70.13
James Harden82830.60-0.100.710.2213-51815.013.91.1416.717.4-0.70
Chandler Parsons82830.60-0.100.710.2213-51815.013.91.1416.717.4-0.70
Jeremy Lin72710.58-0.080.660.2910-21214.217.4-3.1717.015.81.14
Dwight Howard3435-0.080.58-0.66-0.05-19-1015.114.80.2317.516.21.31
Terrence Jones5656-0.110.61-0.72-0.1108-816.212.93.2517.016.30.64
Aaron Brooks2828-0.190.69-0.870.02-715-2216.314.31.9816.316.9-0.65
Omri Casspi2221-0.290.79-1.080.12-1422-3616.314.51.8515.717.1-1.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.12,0.15,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.42,0.59,0.71,0.83,0.76,0.89,0.97,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 97, WAS 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.54,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.99,193.0%
DET 106, DEN 1080.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.23,0.16,0.2,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.38,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.91,191.7%
NYK 110, ORL 1160.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.3,0.22,0.43,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.97,1,191.7%