inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 119 Excitement11.9 [24] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +41.0%
Miami Heat 121 Comeback45.3 [49] LVPMario Chalmers (MIA): -24.7%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0.320,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.32,0.320.100.20-0.021370%0.352-0.044100%0.07
Louis Williams0.230,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23-0.020.21-0.04945%0.241-0.012100%0.05
Jeff Teague0.210,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.19,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.21,0.21-0.020.22-0.012052%0.385-0.171060%-0.00
DeMarre Carroll0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.04-0.014100%0.122-0.0300%0.00
Mike Scott0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.020.00662%0.0700.001100%0.01
Elton Brand-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00450%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Pero Antic-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Shelvin Mack-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.02-0.00525%-0.062-0.04250%-0.03
Paul Millsap-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.150.09-0.25-0.012062%-0.023-0.1300%0.00
Kyle Korver-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.230.10-0.310.02983%-0.152-0.0800%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.41,0.410.410.190.22-0.002861%0.4100.00633%-0.11
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.290.110.190.011076%0.362-0.07580%0.15
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.210.210.080.130.00380%0.2110.00967%-0.05
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.170.170.020.150.00850%0.1700.00475%0.10
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.00-0.00757%0.0400.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.011052%0.072-0.061100%0.01
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.04-0.00560%0.051-0.0800%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.030.0010%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.01831%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.27,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.10-0.16-0.011146%-0.045-0.21475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.81.825.315.423.52.443.70.820.2158.9
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.41.917.6136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +1.1%
MIA +26.0%
MIA +0.8%
MIA +7.1%
MIA +14.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMIANBAATLMIANBA
this game14.216.115.1111.2117.5105.2
season14.815.6103.8109.7
opponent15.815.3105.1104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ATL17.113.213.313.314.114.2
MIA13.422.815.014.017.616.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pero Antic1090.05-0.550.60-0.219-11207.914.9-6.9619.815.84.01
Mike Scott2120-0.05-0.450.39-0.081-3414.414.20.2818.415.62.83
DeMarre Carroll5252-0.07-0.430.35-0.01-20-213.614.8-1.1515.916.4-0.47
Paul Millsap8482-0.11-0.390.28-0.05-20-214.413.60.8215.817.5-1.77
Shelvin Mack4240-0.12-0.380.26-0.00-42-614.514.00.4116.715.70.95
Elton Brand1816-0.17-0.330.16-0.02-53-815.713.91.7613.016.7-3.69
Kyle Korver8277-0.24-0.260.03-0.292-4614.014.8-0.7216.514.91.65
Louis Williams6764-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.476-81414.713.31.3716.216.00.19
Jeff Teague7775-0.600.10-0.70-0.40-75-1214.413.70.6615.717.2-1.56
Al Horford8280-0.890.39-1.27-0.65-86-1414.214.10.1615.916.8-0.86

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Andersen48511.07-0.571.650.7212-102216.715.61.1513.914.5-0.62
Norris Cole40440.71-0.210.930.4210-81815.916.3-0.3914.114.3-0.19
Roger Mason Jr.36380.51-0.010.530.259-71616.715.80.8513.714.5-0.77
LeBron James89920.310.190.120.43-46-1016.712.44.3513.717.5-3.79
Mario Chalmers70710.310.190.110.42-46-1015.717.1-1.3914.314.00.27
Rashard Lewis34360.280.220.050.019-71616.915.71.1415.313.61.66
Michael Beasley39430.170.33-0.16-0.068-61414.517.1-2.5414.913.71.21
Ray Allen67680.100.40-0.300.25-57-1215.916.5-0.5914.713.41.33
Shane Battier3232-0.360.86-1.230.05-1416-3017.115.71.4613.314.6-1.27
Chris Bosh6061-0.490.99-1.48-0.17-1113-2415.417.1-1.7614.214.20.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.21,0.26,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.69,0.37,0.09,0.08,0.5,0.45,0.71,0.55,0.27,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 88, NYK 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.33,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.15,0.22,0.23,0.09,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.42,186.5%
HOU 99, DET 960.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.43,0.36,0.24,0.36,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.13,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.48,0.47,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.68,0.37,0.45,0.16,086.4%
LAC 96, MIN 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.61,0.54,0.15,0.08,086.3%