NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	8.1 [238]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +14.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Comeback	2.9 [609]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (LAC): -32.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14	0.02	0.12	-0.01	14	47%	0.18	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.03
Caron Butler	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.01,-0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	12	68%	0.24	2	-0.11	4	75%	0.02
Blake Griffin	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.01	17	68%	0.20	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	8	62%	0.12	0	0.00	10	40%	-0.10
Ronny Turiaf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Grant Hill	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	3	40%	0.04	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	-0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.01	14	31%	-0.18	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.07	-0.02	15	53%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	8	61%	0.10	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	13	44%	0.13	3	-0.16	1	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.08	8	87%	0.04
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	53%	0.02	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	7	44%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.11	-0.03	9	45%	-0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	34.5	16.3	27.6	2.4	37.5	142.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +21.5%

LAC +1.2%

LAC +35.1%

MIN -3.2%

MIN -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.4	106.7	100.0	104.1
season	15.6	15.6		109.0	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.7		103.4	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.8	13.9	16.1	16.9	15.9
MIN	17.5	18.0	14.6	14.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	65	65	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.38	18	-12	30	16.2	15.2	1.04	16.0	16.4	-0.49
DeAndre Jordan	59	59	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.33	12	-6	18	16.7	14.3	2.42	15.3	17.6	-2.37
Blake Griffin	69	67	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-3	12	16.4	14.3	2.12	15.8	17.0	-1.22
Eric Bledsoe	75	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.24	10	-4	14	16.0	15.6	0.37	15.5	18.7	-3.16
Jamal Crawford	56	58	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.29	5	1	4	16.3	15.3	0.94	16.4	15.5	0.87
Willie Green	31	30	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	5	-4	16.4	15.7	0.73	16.3	16.0	0.27
Lamar Odom	34	35	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	9	-12	13.5	17.4	-3.88	17.0	15.5	1.49
Ronny Turiaf	18	19	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	12	-18	15.8	15.9	-0.10	18.1	15.6	2.49
Grant Hill	33	31	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.04	-6	12	-18	13.6	17.3	-3.69	16.7	15.8	0.90
Matt Barnes	10	12	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	16	-26	17.8	15.7	2.12	16.8	16.0	0.86

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexey Shved	40	41	0.40	-0.90	1.31	0.05	12	-18	30	16.1	16.0	0.11	14.9	16.8	-1.94
Greg Stiemsma	19	19	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.08	8	-14	22	18.7	15.4	3.36	15.6	16.0	-0.35
Mickael Gelabale	28	29	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.01	4	-10	14	18.1	15.2	2.98	14.8	16.4	-1.65
Jose Juan Barea	46	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.35	5	-11	16	16.0	16.2	-0.18	15.9	16.0	-0.08
Dante Cunningham	66	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.38	5	-11	16	15.9	16.6	-0.67	16.7	14.0	2.78
Derrick Williams	22	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	5	-16	17.7	15.6	2.11	15.2	16.2	-1.02
Luke Ridnour	44	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	5	-16	16.2	16.0	0.18	16.0	15.9	0.08
Andrei Kirilenko	62	61	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.33	-10	4	-14	15.2	18.1	-2.98	16.4	14.8	1.65
Nikola Pekovic	71	71	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.24	-14	8	-22	15.4	18.7	-3.36	16.0	15.6	0.35
Ricky Rubio	52	52	-0.91	0.41	-1.33	-0.38	-18	12	-30	15.6	16.8	-1.17	16.1	15.7	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.61,0.54,0.15,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 105, WAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.53,0.4,0.6,0.45,0.46,0.33,0.09,0	91.2%
DAL 102, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.08,0	90.3%
LAL 98, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.34,0.54,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.04,0	90.3%