NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	108		Excitement	8.1 [239]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +13.9%
Phoenix Suns	101		Comeback	2.4 [590]		LVP	Goran Dragic (PHX): -23.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,0.06,0.13,0.14	0.01	0.15	0.03	17	62%	0.29	5	-0.15	5	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	56%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Matt Bonner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Patty Mills	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	10	55%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Boris Diaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	9	39%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	13	55%	-0.01	5	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Kawhi Leonard	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	15	42%	-0.07	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	8	57%	0.11	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.13	-0.03	0.06	11	92%	0.15	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	9	65%	0.08	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	4	40%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.15	-0.04	15	45%	-0.13	4	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.12	0.02	18	41%	-0.18	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	27.4	16.6	29.1	1.8	34.2	136.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +37.0%

SAS +1.6%

SAS +8.0%

SAS +3.6%

PHX -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.7	14.3	15.1	109.1	101.0	105.2
season	15.0	14.7		109.8	107.7
opponent	14.9	15.0		105.0	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.7	12.6	15.8	14.8	14.7
PHX	13.6	13.1	14.8	15.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	53	53	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.24	17	-10	27	14.1	15.3	-1.23	15.6	12.8	2.86
Danny Green	40	42	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-6	19	14.5	14.8	-0.24	15.9	13.1	2.80
Manu Ginobili	57	57	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.13	14	-7	21	13.8	15.8	-2.03	15.2	13.0	2.16
Patty Mills	62	64	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.12	12	-5	17	13.8	16.1	-2.30	15.5	12.1	3.43
Tim Duncan	63	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	2	3	14.9	14.2	0.70	14.1	14.5	-0.40
Jeff Ayres	23	23	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.03	2	5	-3	13.9	14.9	-1.04	15.6	13.9	1.67
Cory Joseph	35	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.22	-7	14	-21	16.3	13.7	2.59	12.4	15.2	-2.83
Matt Bonner	18	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	9	-11	13.7	14.9	-1.15	10.9	15.1	-4.11
Tiago Splitter	29	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.17	-7	14	-21	16.7	13.8	2.81	12.7	14.8	-2.09
Kawhi Leonard	64	66	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.05	-2	9	-11	14.7	14.7	0.01	13.6	15.6	-1.94
Marco Belinelli	52	52	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.16	-12	19	-31	15.3	14.0	1.35	12.5	16.2	-3.71

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Archie Goodwin	36	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-4	1	12.5	15.3	-2.78	13.3	15.4	-2.14
Markieff Morris	49	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	0	-7	15.8	12.9	2.89	14.6	14.7	-0.15
Gerald Green	35	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-1	-5	15.5	13.6	1.85	14.1	15.0	-0.94
Eric Bledsoe	68	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-8	9	14.1	14.7	-0.65	15.1	13.8	1.30
Marcus Morris	44	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	0	-7	14.2	14.3	-0.05	14.6	14.7	-0.17
PJ Tucker	56	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-8	9	14.7	13.7	1.03	15.3	13.8	1.55
Channing Frye	56	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-4	1	13.4	15.4	-2.06	14.6	14.8	-0.22
Miles Plumlee	71	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	-1	-5	14.1	14.7	-0.53	14.9	14.2	0.65
Goran Dragic	85	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	-2	-3	14.3	14.2	0.09	14.7	14.4	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.16,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 106, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.05,0	91.7%
TOR 94, NOP 87	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.67,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.33,0.44,0.28,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.33,0.15,0.03,0,0	91.5%
POR 89, ORL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.7,0.72,0.45,0.55,0.33,0.16,0	91.0%