NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	89		Excitement	8.0 [278]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): +20.9%
Orlando Magic	83		Comeback	3.0 [221]		LVP	Grant Hill (ORL): -26.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	12	50%	0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	16	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	9	41%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.18,0.02,-0.04,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	23	49%	0.06	2	-0.13	9	78%	0.04
Darius Miles	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	13	36%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.12	0.01	20	61%	0.23	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	39%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Steve Francis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	0.01	-0.03	18	30%	-0.03	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.01	-0.13	0.01	6	69%	0.02	2	-0.15	4	75%	-0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.14,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.13	-0.12	0.01	13	41%	-0.05	5	-0.21	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	479.0	2.4	26.5	15.7	23.1	2.4	32.6	581.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -17.9%

POR +14.3%

POR +16.2%

POR +31.5%

POR +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ORL	NBA	POR	ORL	NBA
this game	17.1	14.2	15.5	96.7	90.2	104.0
season	15.8	14.3		101.2	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.6		105.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.0	16.1	18.6	17.0	17.1
ORL	13.0	13.9	15.0	15.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	67	65	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.41	10	-4	14	17.2	16.8	0.38	14.1	14.5	-0.42
Zach Randolph	68	70	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.46	8	-2	10	17.6	15.8	1.80	14.7	12.4	2.33
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	69	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-2	10	17.1	17.2	-0.07	13.7	15.5	-1.72
Theo Ratliff	61	61	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	1	4	17.6	16.3	1.30	14.3	13.9	0.47
Damon Stoudamire	68	66	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	1	4	17.3	16.7	0.61	14.2	14.2	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	32	32	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	7	-8	16.8	17.3	-0.47	14.6	14.0	0.58
Joel Przybilla	9	9	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	4	-2	13.7	17.5	-3.83	14.6	14.1	0.41
Nick Van Exel	30	33	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.08	-4	10	-14	17.9	16.7	1.16	14.4	14.1	0.37
Darius Miles	56	56	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.14	-3	9	-12	16.1	18.7	-2.63	13.6	15.1	-1.52

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jameer Nelson	24	24	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.03	7	-13	20	14.7	14.0	0.76	16.2	17.4	-1.18
DeShawn Stevenson	41	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-4	2	14.2	14.2	0.02	17.0	17.2	-0.26
Tony Battie	40	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-7	8	15.7	13.0	2.77	17.6	16.7	0.91
Kelvin Cato	59	60	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-5	4	13.3	15.7	-2.36	17.8	15.9	1.91
Pat Garrity	17	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	4	-14	13.6	14.3	-0.66	12.6	18.1	-5.49
Hedo Turkoglu	64	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-3	0	14.5	13.4	1.19	16.9	17.7	-0.77
Dwight Howard	67	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-4	2	14.2	14.0	0.20	17.8	15.4	2.36
Steve Francis	75	76	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.35	-9	3	-12	14.1	14.5	-0.42	17.5	15.5	1.96
Grant Hill	73	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.29	-11	5	-16	13.7	16.2	-2.55	16.9	17.8	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.7,0.72,0.45,0.55,0.33,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 102, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.44,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.72,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.17,0	92.3%
BOS 106, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.05,0	91.2%
OKC 117, BOS 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.13,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.38,0.32,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.63,0.45,0.08,0	91.2%