inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 94 Excitement4.6 [901] MVPAlec Burks (UTA): +18.4%
Miami Heat 117 Comeback2.2 [1011] LVPGordon Hayward (UTA): -20.3%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alec Burks0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.020.011774%0.212-0.03862%-0.02
Enes Kanter0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.010.001158%0.0700.002100%0.01
Derrick Favors0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.10-0.000.061263%0.081-0.04333%-0.01
Andris Biedrins0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Lucas III0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Harris0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marvin Williams-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.011040%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Rush-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Trey Burke-0.020,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.09-0.01-0.08819%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Jeremy Evans-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.02-0.00633%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Diante Garrett-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02275%0.023-0.0600%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00530%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Gordon Hayward-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.14-0.060.00835%-0.055-0.15475%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.120.03-0.021365%0.1800.00580%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.110.04-0.001471%0.223-0.061090%0.02
LeBron James0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.170.000.091777%0.133-0.05580%-0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.020.00775%0.112-0.04250%-0.01
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.01781%0.103-0.062100%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.010.00350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shane Battier00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.000.01642%-0.043-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.02.627.215.427.11.625.2123.2
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +36.1%
MIA +7.9%
UTA -2.3%
MIA +7.7%
MIA +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAMIANBAUTAMIANBA
this game17.313.415.1101.1123.2105.2
season16.215.6102.1109.7
opponent15.814.8105.1109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA19.615.418.616.017.3
MIA14.014.611.413.513.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Rush38370.12-0.620.75-0.149-324118.916.22.7014.212.81.41
Enes Kanter33330.11-0.610.73-0.035-283317.417.30.1114.512.71.77
Diante Garrett32320.10-0.600.700.042-252718.017.01.0313.913.10.83
Andris Biedrins550.00-0.500.500.12-4-191514.017.5-3.5111.413.5-2.07
John Lucas III550.00-0.500.500.12-4-191514.017.5-3.5111.413.5-2.07
Michael Harris550.00-0.500.500.12-4-191514.017.5-3.5111.413.5-2.07
Jeremy Evans3334-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-232318.316.81.4714.312.91.41
Alec Burks6566-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-232317.417.20.2114.011.82.20
Richard Jefferson2324-0.44-0.06-0.380.12-19-4-1517.917.10.7311.913.8-1.93
Marvin Williams5556-0.48-0.02-0.460.08-19-4-1517.117.7-0.6613.013.9-0.92
Trey Burke6163-0.600.10-0.700.13-252-2717.018.0-1.0313.113.9-0.83
Derrick Favors5557-0.610.11-0.730.09-241-2517.616.90.6312.914.1-1.25
Gordon Hayward5558-0.620.12-0.750.32-329-4116.218.9-2.7012.814.2-1.41

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James66640.59-0.090.68-0.1124-12513.413.20.2717.816.21.62
Mario Chalmers48490.53-0.030.56-0.031941512.913.8-0.8917.716.90.87
Chris Bosh60610.490.010.49-0.122121913.013.9-0.8817.017.8-0.79
Shane Battier35360.380.120.26-0.09167912.214.0-1.7916.617.8-1.16
Dwyane Wade60610.330.170.16-0.051310312.714.5-1.7918.215.72.49
Rashard Lewis53500.240.26-0.020.01815-714.212.41.7918.016.61.42
Ray Allen47450.010.49-0.490.01023-2314.512.22.2417.117.5-0.41
Chris Andersen30270.010.49-0.490.06-225-2714.312.91.4318.616.81.74
James Jones550.000.50-0.50-0.12419-1511.413.5-2.0714.017.5-3.51
Udonis Haslem550.000.50-0.50-0.12419-1511.413.5-2.0714.017.5-3.51
Roger Mason Jr.550.000.50-0.50-0.12419-1511.413.5-2.0714.017.5-3.51
Joel Anthony550.000.50-0.50-0.12419-1511.413.5-2.0714.017.5-3.51
Norris Cole5652-0.080.58-0.66-0.08023-2313.912.61.2616.318.6-2.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.81,0.82,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 81, BOS 970.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.1%
NJN 80, IND 980.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.8%
DET 103, LAC 1120.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.92,1,1,194.2%