NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	97		Excitement	5.6 [718]		MVP	Amir Johnson (TOR): +13.3%
Phoenix Suns	106		Comeback	2.1 [680]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -13.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.00	-0.01	15	65%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Steve Novak	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	0.00	10	46%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Landry Fields	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	56%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	15	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	0.02	-0.03	0.05	16	55%	0.02	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Julyan Stone	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	15	38%	-0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	14	74%	0.21	5	-0.11	6	50%	-0.03
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.02	-0.06	11	59%	0.11	3	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	43%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Viacheslav Kravtsov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	6	56%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	12	53%	0.03	3	-0.06	10	80%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	13	47%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	29.2	15.6	29.2	2.5	40.5	145.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +28.9%

TOR -5.0%

PHX +30.3%

TOR -8.7%

PHX +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHX	NBA	TOR	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	14.5	15.1	102.1	109.3	105.2
season	15.9	14.7		107.2	107.7
opponent	14.9	15.1		105.0	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.2	16.3	15.7	14.8	15.5
PHX	13.6	15.0	15.0	14.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Ross	17	18	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.08	8	-17	25	15.9	15.4	0.48	14.5	14.5	-0.03
Quincy Acy	0	1	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.04	0	-9	9	0.0	15.5	-15.48	12.0	14.6	-2.55
Steve Novak	38	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.25	6	-15	21	14.8	15.9	-1.11	15.2	14.1	1.18
Tyler Hansbrough	5	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.09	-6	-3	-3	18.0	15.3	2.66	10.7	14.8	-4.11
Amir Johnson	68	68	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.36	9	-18	27	14.8	17.3	-2.48	15.2	12.9	2.37
Landry Fields	38	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.03	-3	-6	3	15.3	15.6	-0.37	13.4	15.3	-1.90
Julyan Stone	34	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	1	-11	18.7	13.7	4.97	14.4	14.6	-0.27
Rudy Gay	62	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.20	-6	-3	-3	15.3	15.9	-0.60	15.0	13.6	1.39
Jonas Valanciunas	56	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	6	-21	16.1	14.6	1.43	14.3	14.9	-0.59
Kyle Lowry	79	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.23	-11	2	-13	14.7	19.2	-4.45	14.3	15.7	-1.39
DeMar DeRozan	78	78	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.20	-17	8	-25	15.4	15.9	-0.48	14.6	14.4	0.20

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	73	70	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-4	17	14.0	16.0	-1.96	14.5	18.3	-3.79
Channing Frye	34	34	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-3	15	15.1	14.2	0.96	16.2	15.1	1.08
Goran Dragic	74	74	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	0	9	15.2	12.3	2.97	15.7	14.6	1.17
PJ Tucker	78	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.21	6	3	3	14.9	13.1	1.77	15.0	17.5	-2.49
Miles Plumlee	40	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	0	9	14.9	14.3	0.59	15.3	15.6	-0.28
Gerald Green	43	43	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.20	1	8	-7	13.7	15.2	-1.49	16.6	14.5	2.09
Markieff Morris	67	65	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	12	-15	14.0	15.7	-1.70	14.9	16.8	-1.87
Archie Goodwin	26	25	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	6	-3	12.8	15.1	-2.29	18.6	14.4	4.23
Viacheslav Kravtsov	4	5	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	8	-7	19.0	14.3	4.67	16.0	15.5	0.54
Marcus Morris	46	43	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.21	-6	15	-21	14.9	14.2	0.74	15.0	15.9	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.88,0.88,0.78,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 70, CLE 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.78,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
NYK 102, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,1	94.7%
LAL 100, PHX 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	94.6%