NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	112		Excitement	7.1 [406]		MVP	Gerald Green (PHX): +26.9%
Phoenix Suns	104		Comeback	1.7 [211]		LVP	Markieff Morris (PHX): -15.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Evans	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.08	0.00	4	92%	0.20	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Trey Burke	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.10	0.02	15	59%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Enes Kanter	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.10	-0.00	6	57%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	11	62%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	11	64%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	9	62%	0.15	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	7	74%	0.14	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Diante Garrett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.04	11	43%	-0.05	2	-0.06	8	87%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.12	0.15	-0.00	9	78%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	12	71%	0.17	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	81%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	11	41%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	-0.04	0.06	13	62%	0.08	2	-0.08	13	85%	0.03
Dionte Christmas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.02	-0.06	9	54%	0.09	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.03
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	8	28%	-0.05	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.6	31.3	15.7	23.2	2.5	36.3	133.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +26.1%

UTA +11.7%

UTA +12.0%

UTA +1.6%

PHX -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	17.0	15.5	15.1	125.8	118.2	105.2
season	16.2	14.7		102.1	107.7
opponent	14.9	14.8		105.0	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.5	16.4	17.8	16.4	17.0
PHX	15.2	17.9	16.5	12.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	64	64	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.27	9	-1	10	16.2	19.0	-2.81	15.2	16.3	-1.07
Derrick Favors	47	49	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	-1	10	19.0	14.8	4.24	15.6	15.4	0.18
Alec Burks	60	59	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	1	6	16.7	17.7	-1.04	15.3	15.9	-0.63
Gordon Hayward	65	63	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	1	6	16.7	17.9	-1.17	15.2	16.2	-1.02
Diante Garrett	27	28	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	2	4	16.5	17.3	-0.78	16.9	14.9	1.97
Richard Jefferson	59	59	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.21	2	6	-4	16.6	17.9	-1.32	15.1	16.3	-1.14
Trey Burke	62	60	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	6	-4	17.3	16.5	0.78	14.9	16.9	-1.97
Enes Kanter	26	24	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	10	-12	18.2	16.5	1.71	15.5	15.5	0.04
Jeremy Evans	35	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	8	-8	16.8	17.2	-0.37	17.5	14.3	3.19

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Archie Goodwin	12	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-5	2	21.2	14.6	6.64	13.5	17.5	-3.97
Miles Plumlee	43	44	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-4	0	16.5	14.6	1.87	18.3	15.8	2.47
Gerald Green	50	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.19	3	-11	14	14.0	17.6	-3.59	16.5	17.7	-1.15
PJ Tucker	54	55	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.16	2	-10	12	14.9	16.4	-1.52	17.2	16.8	0.37
Dionte Christmas	7	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-5	2	12.3	15.8	-3.50	18.2	16.9	1.35
Markieff Morris	45	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-7	6	16.9	14.0	2.86	16.7	17.4	-0.67
Goran Dragic	71	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-7	6	15.4	16.1	-0.75	17.4	15.3	2.08
Channing Frye	61	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-3	-2	15.4	15.7	-0.22	17.5	15.9	1.63
Eric Bledsoe	53	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	4	-16	15.3	15.9	-0.57	17.2	16.7	0.50
Marcus Morris	44	45	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.13	-16	8	-24	15.2	15.8	-0.66	15.6	18.5	-2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.25,0.15,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, NJN 76	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0	92.9%
CHI 106, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.25,0.42,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.05,0.02,0	92.7%
HOU 83, ATL 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.29,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.39,0.32,0.07,0.01,0,0	91.9%