NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	88		Excitement	6.9 [436]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +36.9%
Toronto Raptors	96		Comeback	3.0 [549]		LVP	Nene (WAS): -36.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.37	0.20	0.18	0.01	21	76%	0.46	4	-0.09	7	71%	-0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Glen Rice Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	21	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	10	30%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.36	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.31,-0.36,-0.36	-0.13	-0.22	0.01	14	36%	-0.18	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.03	0.01	8	82%	0.15	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.00	7	69%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	-0.06	0.14	0.01	16	45%	0.15	3	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	0.00	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.06	-0.01	14	37%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Julyan Stone	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	9	60%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	14	53%	0.04	4	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.0	26.0	15.0	29.2	1.8	32.2	129.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +55.6%

WAS -1.8%

WAS -1.6%

TOR +1.2%

WAS -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	14.8	16.0	15.1	94.6	102.1	105.2
season	15.1	15.9		103.8	107.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		104.2	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.7	14.0	13.7	14.8	14.8
TOR	15.3	15.4	15.6	18.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice Jr.	1	2	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.04	3	-11	14	5.0	14.9	-9.87	8.0	16.2	-8.21
Marcin Gortat	62	62	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.16	6	-14	20	14.2	15.9	-1.76	16.3	15.5	0.81
John Wall	79	78	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.25	7	-15	22	14.1	18.7	-4.65	16.3	14.5	1.85
Martell Webster	81	82	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-11	14	14.3	17.7	-3.33	15.9	16.8	-0.92
Kevin Seraphin	13	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-5	2	15.7	14.6	1.08	16.3	16.0	0.30
Trevor Booker	7	7	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	1	-10	21.0	14.3	6.74	12.7	16.3	-3.58
Jan Vesely	19	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	5	-18	18.5	13.8	4.66	14.2	16.5	-2.26
Nene	73	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.39	2	-10	12	14.2	16.9	-2.72	16.7	14.0	2.65
Bradley Beal	84	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	-2	-4	14.4	18.0	-3.58	16.4	13.5	2.92
Eric Maynor	14	15	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	7	-22	18.7	14.1	4.65	15.4	16.2	-0.75
Garrett Temple	32	34	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.09	-15	7	-22	15.6	14.3	1.27	15.8	16.2	-0.42

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Ross	48	45	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.28	14	-6	20	16.8	15.2	1.60	14.8	14.7	0.11
Amir Johnson	49	50	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.05	22	-14	36	15.1	17.1	-2.03	15.2	14.2	0.99
Steve Novak	35	35	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.11	15	-7	22	15.8	16.2	-0.37	17.1	13.3	3.82
Rudy Gay	61	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	6	-4	16.6	15.0	1.64	14.6	15.1	-0.55
D.J. Augustin	8	9	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.22	6	2	4	18.4	15.8	2.56	17.9	14.4	3.46
Jonas Valanciunas	73	73	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.34	-7	15	-22	16.5	14.2	2.31	13.7	18.6	-4.95
Julyan Stone	12	11	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	4	0	17.7	15.8	1.87	15.9	14.6	1.30
Kyle Lowry	74	73	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	10	-12	15.5	17.9	-2.44	14.2	16.8	-2.59
DeMar DeRozan	73	73	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	15	-22	15.6	17.6	-2.04	14.1	17.2	-3.10
Tyler Hansbrough	37	35	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.04	-7	15	-22	15.5	16.4	-0.94	15.6	14.3	1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.9,0.72,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 88, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.95,1	92.3%
PHI 91, BKN 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.57,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.83,0.97,0.94,1,1	92.0%
MEM 90, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.88,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.87,1,1,1,1,1	91.7%