NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	113		Excitement	4.9 [854]		MVP	Gerald Green (PHX): +22.4%
Phoenix Suns	106		Comeback	1.4 [369]		LVP	Archie Goodwin (PHX): -15.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	5	85%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	6	83%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.02	0.06	13	70%	0.08	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
John Salmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.05	9	48%	-0.05	1	-0.00	9	100%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	14	44%	-0.03	2	-0.02	15	73%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.04	-0.04	13	82%	0.27	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dionte Christmas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	52%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.03
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	8	81%	0.09	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	0.06	10	55%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.15	-0.04	0.17	20	63%	-0.03	1	-0.03	9	89%	-0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	4	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	8	6%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.5	25.3	14.7	25.0	2.6	38.5	137.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +14.3%

SAC +11.1%

SAC +14.5%

SAC +9.4%

SAC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.1	14.8	15.1	116.5	110.4	105.2
season	15.4	14.7		104.5	107.7
opponent	14.9	14.7		105.0	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.8	15.5	15.3	13.1	15.1
PHX	13.7	17.3	16.7	12.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	50	51	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	0	7	17.5	12.5	4.97	15.2	14.3	0.95
Luc Mbah a Moute	57	58	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	2	3	15.3	14.7	0.55	14.2	15.6	-1.42
Jason Thompson	36	39	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	-3	13	17.0	14.0	3.02	15.5	14.3	1.25
Greivis Vasquez	59	59	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	5	-3	14.9	15.3	-0.31	13.5	16.8	-3.32
Ben McLemore	44	45	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	-1	9	17.6	13.0	4.65	15.6	14.0	1.60
John Salmons	46	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	4	-1	14.3	15.8	-1.46	15.4	14.3	1.13
Isaiah Thomas	59	56	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.29	-2	9	-11	13.8	17.0	-3.17	14.4	15.3	-0.86
Jimmer Fredette	35	35	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	2	3	13.0	16.2	-3.20	15.8	14.2	1.66
Patrick Patterson	54	51	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	8	-9	13.7	16.8	-3.09	14.7	14.8	-0.05
Charles Hayes	16	16	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	2	3	12.6	15.6	-2.93	17.1	14.3	2.82
Travis Outlaw	29	27	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.21	-7	14	-21	14.6	15.3	-0.64	12.5	15.7	-3.19

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dionte Christmas	29	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.40	12	-19	31	11.3	16.3	-4.96	13.0	16.0	-3.00
Alex Len	11	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	1	-9	18.1	14.3	3.75	9.6	15.7	-6.10
Channing Frye	31	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	1	-9	15.7	14.3	1.34	16.4	14.5	1.89
Marcus Morris	57	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.40	7	-14	21	14.0	15.9	-1.90	14.8	15.6	-0.79
PJ Tucker	58	58	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.23	1	-8	9	13.8	16.3	-2.56	14.7	15.6	-0.91
Archie Goodwin	37	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-6	5	15.3	14.4	0.86	13.7	16.0	-2.33
Markieff Morris	33	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	0	-7	16.5	13.8	2.70	14.4	15.4	-1.03
Ish Smith	26	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	1	-9	17.0	14.0	3.00	15.4	14.9	0.46
Goran Dragic	74	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-5	3	13.9	17.9	-4.01	15.0	15.2	-0.19
Gerald Green	69	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-1	-5	14.9	14.4	0.51	16.3	11.8	4.51
Miles Plumlee	55	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	8	-23	15.9	13.3	2.62	16.9	12.7	4.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 91, POR 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
TOR 103, WAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	95.0%
HOU 113, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.38,0.48,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%