NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	86		Excitement	5.4 [740]		MVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): +19.2%
Detroit Pistons	92		Comeback	1.9 [749]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -22.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pablo Prigioni	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	15	56%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Andrea Bargnani	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.03	12	52%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.03	9	61%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.17,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.06	0.05	20	49%	-0.03	7	-0.19	11	73%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.12	-0.00	14	64%	0.25	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	19	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Gigi Datome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	80%	0.14	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	7	68%	0.06	3	-0.09	5	20%	-0.07
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Peyton Siva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.3	28.5	17.4	25.9	2.7	36.5	136.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +49.9%

DET +5.0%

DET +3.7%

NYK -12.5%

DET +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	16.3	17.6	15.1	100.0	109.5	105.2
season	16.0	15.0		106.4	104.7
opponent	15.0	15.4		108.4	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.3	16.8	16.0	17.2	16.3
DET	16.0	16.7	18.4	19.6	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	22	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-5	4	15.2	16.7	-1.51	16.5	17.9	-1.38
Amar'e Stoudemire	27	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-8	10	17.4	15.8	1.66	17.0	17.9	-0.88
Kenyon Martin	52	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.24	3	-9	12	16.2	16.4	-0.18	18.2	16.6	1.58
Beno Udrih	35	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	3	-12	15.6	16.8	-1.23	16.4	18.4	-1.99
Pablo Prigioni	40	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-4	2	17.3	15.5	1.82	17.8	17.4	0.37
J.R. Smith	59	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.35	1	-7	8	17.0	14.8	2.22	18.3	16.2	2.08
Carmelo Anthony	66	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-1	-4	16.2	16.6	-0.39	17.7	17.3	0.40
Iman Shumpert	61	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.18	-9	3	-12	16.0	17.0	-0.98	17.6	17.6	-0.04
Andrea Bargnani	68	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	4	-14	15.8	18.2	-2.36	17.5	17.9	-0.43

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	72	74	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.25	9	-3	12	17.7	17.2	0.40	16.3	16.5	-0.23
Greg Monroe	65	64	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.19	10	-4	14	17.5	17.8	-0.32	16.1	17.0	-0.88
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	56	54	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	-6	18	17.0	18.7	-1.68	16.0	16.8	-0.81
Rodney Stuckey	52	55	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	8	-10	17.9	17.1	0.76	16.6	15.8	0.72
Brandon Jennings	45	46	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	3	0	18.0	17.2	0.78	16.2	16.4	-0.28
Kyle Singler	40	42	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	3	0	17.0	18.1	-1.04	16.6	16.0	0.53
Peyton Siva	20	21	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	2	2	17.3	17.7	-0.39	17.2	16.0	1.18
Andre Drummond	62	64	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.34	-5	11	-16	17.9	16.6	1.30	16.7	15.0	1.75
Gigi Datome	8	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	10	-14	18.5	17.5	1.00	12.9	16.7	-3.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, LAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
CLE 103, GSW 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
GSW 111, DEN 134	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%