NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	8.4 [198]		MVP	Martell Webster (WAS): +50.1%
Washington Wizards	104		Comeback	5.9 [127]		LVP	Garrett Temple (WAS): -9.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robbie Hummel	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.06	-0.00	3	100%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	10	55%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	5	71%	0.08	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	10	52%	0.03	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.09
Kevin Martin	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.13,0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.06	0.01	17	31%	0.01	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.05
Kevin Love	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	0.06	-0.11	0.02	17	58%	0.05	3	-0.12	9	56%	-0.07
Corey Brewer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.07	0.00	-0.08	-0.01	17	46%	-0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.5	0.50	0.11	0.39	-0.00	13	65%	0.50	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.03,0.03,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	21	53%	0.26	2	-0.16	5	100%	0.06
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	10	70%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	100%	0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.03	0.03	12	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.03	0.02	17	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.7	25.4	15.3	23.4	2.0	35.2	128.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +49.7%

WAS +12.1%

MIN -13.4%

WAS +3.0%

MIN -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	WAS	NBA	MIN	WAS	NBA
this game	16.2	14.2	15.1	105.3	109.5	105.2
season	14.6	15.1		107.3	103.8
opponent	15.5	14.5		102.7	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.4	18.0	16.8	15.6	16.2
WAS	15.0	14.1	11.5	16.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexey Shved	12	13	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.08	9	-13	22	15.2	16.3	-1.04	15.0	14.0	0.98
Dante Cunningham	45	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-4	4	15.8	16.5	-0.64	14.4	13.9	0.45
Robbie Hummel	44	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.27	3	-7	10	15.5	16.7	-1.14	14.7	13.7	1.02
Jose Juan Barea	55	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.42	7	-11	18	15.7	16.7	-1.02	15.0	13.0	2.01
Nikola Pekovic	72	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.38	2	-6	8	16.6	14.8	1.76	14.1	14.3	-0.23
Ricky Rubio	41	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	9	-22	16.5	15.9	0.58	13.0	15.0	-2.01
Kevin Martin	65	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	2	-8	16.1	16.3	-0.21	14.1	14.2	-0.11
Kevin Love	73	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	6	-16	15.9	16.9	-0.92	14.1	14.5	-0.39
Corey Brewer	69	68	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.16	-14	10	-24	16.8	14.5	2.23	13.7	15.4	-1.69

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	76	75	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.38	13	-9	22	13.7	16.1	-2.43	17.1	12.5	4.57
Martell Webster	84	84	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-3	10	14.4	12.6	1.72	16.1	16.3	-0.13
Marcin Gortat	58	60	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.19	10	-6	16	14.5	13.6	0.83	16.9	14.8	2.10
John Wall	77	78	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	-2	8	14.5	12.6	1.98	16.0	17.1	-1.10
Nene	67	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	4	-4	14.9	12.4	2.45	16.3	15.9	0.33
Jan Vesely	38	38	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	4	-4	14.3	14.1	0.22	15.6	16.5	-0.96
Trevor Booker	25	24	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	6	-8	12.0	14.9	-2.87	15.4	16.4	-1.05
Garrett Temple	30	32	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.13	-7	11	-18	14.3	14.1	0.16	15.2	16.7	-1.51
Glen Rice Jr.	10	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.05	-2	6	-8	13.9	14.2	-0.29	11.9	16.6	-4.68
Eric Maynor	10	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	9	-14	11.3	14.5	-3.19	16.0	16.2	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.36,0.35,0.48,0.35,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.34,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.53,0.78,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 111, POR 115	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.37,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.3,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.58,1	89.8%
DEN 103, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.73,1	89.8%
SAC 99, NJN 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.69,0.66,0.52,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.39,0.63,0.57,0.58,1	89.7%