NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	99		Excitement	9.7 [60]		MVP	Corliss Williamson (SAC): +22.8%
New Jersey Nets	102		Comeback	7.3 [545]		LVP	Otis Thorpe (SAC): -25.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0.23	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23	0.10	0.15	0.02	18	68%	0.28	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	19	56%	0.25	4	-0.18	3	67%	-0.04
Billy Owens	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	9	64%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Michael Stewart	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	80%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Terry Dehere	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.04	-0.13	0.00	9	56%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.16	-0.07	-0.00	9	0%	-0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.26	-0.09	-0.19	-0.02	5	62%	-0.05	5	-0.20	6	67%	-0.09

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	11	60%	0.13	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	7	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	10	65%	0.02	2	-0.06	11	91%	0.07
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.01,-0.2,-0.14	-0.14	0.03	-0.16	0.01	18	58%	-0.10	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.11
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.32,-0.19,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	17	42%	-0.00	3	-0.15	4	75%	0.03
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.23	-0.23	-0.07	-0.14	0.01	11	38%	-0.21	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	24.6	15.6	31.3	1.6	43.0	141.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -71.5%

NJN +28.0%

NJN +67.0%

NJN +21.8%

NJN +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NJN	NBA	SAC	NJN	NBA
this game	15.7	14.5	15.6	103.1	107.4	102.5
season	15.2	15.6		98.5	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.3		103.9	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.1	14.2	16.7	15.7	15.7
NJN	14.5	14.1	12.1	17.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Hendrickson	38	38	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.13	6	-9	15	14.9	16.2	-1.26	15.7	13.7	2.03
Lawrence Funderburke	6	7	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-3	3	15.2	15.7	-0.52	13.3	14.6	-1.31
Terry Dehere	41	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.36	10	-13	23	14.6	16.4	-1.78	17.0	12.6	4.41
Otis Thorpe	51	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.22	0	-3	3	14.5	16.9	-2.40	12.8	16.5	-3.69
Michael Stewart	45	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	0	-3	16.9	14.5	2.40	16.5	12.8	3.69
Anthony Johnson	71	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	5	-13	16.1	14.5	1.59	13.1	18.5	-5.36
Billy Owens	70	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	6	-15	16.1	14.6	1.48	14.4	14.7	-0.26
Corliss Williamson	76	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.44	-1	-2	1	16.0	14.4	1.59	14.4	14.7	-0.30
Mitch Richmond	82	80	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.34	-10	7	-17	15.5	16.3	-0.74	14.1	16.8	-2.74

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	69	72	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-9	21	14.0	15.8	-1.81	16.1	14.5	1.60
Kerry Kittles	78	79	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	-1	5	13.4	19.5	-6.06	15.4	17.1	-1.70
Keith Van Horn	72	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-7	17	14.4	14.9	-0.55	15.9	15.0	0.85
Kendall Gill	49	53	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.30	-1	4	-5	15.1	13.9	1.17	14.9	16.6	-1.63
Brian Evans	32	31	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	-6	15	13.2	15.1	-1.92	18.5	14.3	4.13
Michael Cage	20	16	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	1	1	13.7	14.7	-1.01	16.2	15.5	0.71
Lucious Harris	15	15	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.16	3	0	3	18.1	13.8	4.32	16.9	15.4	1.43
Jayson Williams	81	85	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	4	-5	14.6	13.9	0.66	15.6	15.9	-0.29
Chris Gatling	17	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.19	-7	10	-17	15.5	14.3	1.26	14.4	15.9	-1.51
Sherman Douglas	29	26	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.12	-8	11	-19	16.2	13.7	2.51	14.8	16.0	-1.22
Don MacLean	13	12	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	11	-19	16.5	14.2	2.37	11.7	16.2	-4.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.69,0.66,0.52,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.39,0.63,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 103, NYK 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.42,1	89.9%
MIN 100, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.36,0.35,0.48,0.35,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.34,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.53,0.78,0.43,0.42,1	89.7%
TOR 91, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.41,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.43,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.57,0.71,1	89.6%