NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	106		Excitement	6.8 [463]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +20.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	1.3 [339]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): -9.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.2	0.06	0.14	-0.00	11	62%	0.22	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Kosta Koufos	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	5	100%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.16	0.01	0.04	16	67%	0.13	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Marc Gasol	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	22	44%	0.08	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.03
Jerryd Bayless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	8	38%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	6	63%	0.17	1	-0.05	7	100%	0.08
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	67%	0.10	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	14	49%	0.07	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.05
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	21	51%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	13	39%	-0.04	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	11	36%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.5	31.4	16.4	26.3	2.5	37.5	145.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +52.5%

LAC -15.6%

MEM +9.5%

MEM +4.2%

LAC -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	17.0	13.7	15.1	111.6	110.9	105.2
season	16.4	14.3		104.5	111.0
opponent	15.4	15.2		104.3	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.0	15.5	18.5	17.4	17.0
LAC	15.7	12.7	14.2	12.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	70	68	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.35	12	-8	20	18.2	13.8	4.43	13.2	15.2	-2.00
Marc Gasol	81	79	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.42	7	-3	10	17.6	13.4	4.21	13.3	16.3	-3.00
Mike Conley	56	57	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.27	2	2	0	16.7	17.4	-0.66	14.0	13.3	0.76
Zach Randolph	70	68	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	-3	10	17.5	15.8	1.66	14.1	12.7	1.32
Tony Allen	19	18	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.13	12	-8	20	17.6	16.9	0.76	15.8	13.2	2.62
Jerryd Bayless	41	37	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	4	-4	16.6	17.4	-0.81	13.1	14.2	-1.13
Quincy Pondexter	62	60	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.39	-10	14	-24	16.3	18.3	-2.01	13.5	14.2	-0.70
Kosta Koufos	37	35	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	8	-12	15.8	17.8	-2.07	14.3	13.4	0.85
Mike Miller	39	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.15	-6	10	-16	15.7	17.9	-2.17	14.1	13.5	0.55

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	12	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-6	8	12.2	13.9	-1.70	17.9	16.9	1.03
Blake Griffin	62	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.42	8	-12	20	13.9	13.5	0.39	17.8	15.5	2.34
Jared Dudley	43	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	4	-12	13.4	14.0	-0.54	18.5	15.7	2.80
Jamal Crawford	48	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.42	6	-10	16	14.1	13.3	0.74	15.2	18.8	-3.62
Darren Collison	27	29	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	1	-6	13.4	13.9	-0.45	15.0	17.9	-2.96
Chris Paul	67	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-1	-2	13.9	13.2	0.73	17.5	15.9	1.53
JJ Redick	52	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	0	-4	13.2	14.4	-1.23	17.9	15.9	1.97
Matt Barnes	44	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-2	0	14.1	13.4	0.65	15.7	18.3	-2.53
Byron Mullens	26	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	4	-12	13.9	13.7	0.27	16.8	17.1	-0.33
DeAndre Jordan	79	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	2	-8	13.8	13.1	0.76	17.1	16.2	0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.45,0.37,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.15,0.17,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.15,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, MEM 92	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.34,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.01,0	93.2%
SAS 67, MIA 65	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.15,0	92.9%
DAL 110, NYK 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.16,0.09,0	92.7%