NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	94		Excitement	7.7 [299]		MVP	Monta Ellis (DAL): +18.9%
Dallas Mavericks	97		Comeback	3.2 [854]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -14.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Anderson	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.08	-0.02	13	50%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brandon Davies	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Darius Morris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	11	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hollis Thompson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.02	0.00	18	33%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	17	44%	-0.01	4	-0.13	9	33%	-0.11
Evan Turner	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.01	-0.11	0.02	22	52%	-0.08	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.05

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.16	0.00	14	59%	0.31	4	-0.12	13	69%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	13	67%	0.18	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	15	61%	0.13	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	13	54%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	37%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Gal Mekel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bernard James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.00	-0.02	8	12%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	30.0	16.7	29.0	2.5	36.9	141.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +57.9%

DAL +26.2%

PHI -8.7%

PHI -28.9%

DAL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DAL	NBA	PHI	DAL	NBA
this game	13.8	14.3	15.1	93.1	93.3	105.2
season	13.7	15.3		98.4	109.0
opponent	15.0	15.0		107.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.6	14.0	13.9	12.8	13.8
DAL	14.2	16.0	13.8	13.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	79	81	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.35	9	-12	21	12.6	18.2	-5.66	14.6	13.3	1.32
Evan Turner	76	80	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.39	9	-12	21	13.2	15.6	-2.39	14.6	13.2	1.35
Thaddeus Young	67	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.35	7	-10	17	13.1	15.1	-1.98	14.5	13.9	0.53
Darius Morris	21	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.10	-2	-1	-1	17.6	12.8	4.76	14.5	14.2	0.27
James Anderson	89	91	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-5	7	13.3	17.7	-4.39	14.5	12.5	2.00
Tony Wroten	80	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-2	1	12.8	17.6	-4.76	14.2	14.5	-0.27
Brandon Davies	34	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	8	-19	15.1	13.1	1.98	13.9	14.5	-0.53
Lavoy Allen	22	22	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	8	-19	18.2	12.6	5.66	13.3	14.5	-1.23
Hollis Thompson	37	38	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.08	-17	14	-31	16.3	12.4	3.90	13.0	15.0	-2.07

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	53	49	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.12	12	-9	21	13.2	15.4	-2.20	15.0	12.7	2.37
Monta Ellis	84	83	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.30	2	1	1	14.6	12.8	1.78	13.8	13.9	-0.17
Jae Crowder	45	45	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	5	-7	12.3	15.8	-3.56	14.6	13.1	1.48
Bernard James	15	15	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	-6	15	10.9	14.9	-4.00	16.9	13.3	3.60
Samuel Dalembert	59	56	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.29	1	2	-1	15.0	13.3	1.68	13.5	14.2	-0.76
Shawn Marion	76	73	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.34	-1	4	-5	14.6	13.6	0.98	13.0	16.0	-2.99
Dirk Nowitzki	72	71	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	0	3	14.5	13.8	0.69	13.7	14.1	-0.42
Jose Calderon	70	70	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.24	-2	5	-7	14.8	13.2	1.61	12.9	15.8	-2.89
Shane Larkin	20	18	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	6	-9	14.7	14.2	0.57	12.8	14.0	-1.25
Gal Mekel	12	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	4	-5	15.2	14.2	1.09	17.1	13.4	3.69
DeJuan Blair	14	14	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	6	-9	16.8	13.9	2.89	13.3	13.9	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, OKC 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.96,1,1	93.4%
VAN 75, MIN 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	93.3%
CLE 85, BOS 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.91,1	92.8%