NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Excitement	7.2 [380]		MVP	Tony Allen (BOS): +14.0%
Boston Celtics	90		Comeback	2.9 [671]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -20.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	53%	0.08	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03
Delonte West	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.01	5	75%	0.11	4	-0.15	10	90%	0.04
Lorenzen Wright	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	8	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Mo Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	10	57%	0.05	4	-0.18	1	100%	0.01
LeBron James	-0.20	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.2	-0.07	-0.14	-0.02	21	44%	-0.08	3	-0.12	8	50%	-0.10

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.00	9	50%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.05	0.02	19	59%	0.18	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.03
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	7	72%	0.16	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	5	70%	0.12	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.04
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	15	32%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.06
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.01	9	36%	-0.04	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.0	34.2	20.5	29.3	2.7	47.0	164.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +27.5%

BOS +3.7%

CLE -4.0%

BOS +24.1%

CLE -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	14.3	15.5	90.4	92.8	106.4
season	16.9	15.8		110.6	108.3
opponent	15.6	15.2		101.7	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.2	16.8	19.4	13.1	15.9
BOS	15.5	13.9	13.6	14.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	33	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-4	3	17.2	15.2	1.97	15.5	13.5	1.97
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	56	57	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.25	7	-12	19	16.5	15.0	1.47	15.7	12.2	3.54
Wally Szczerbiak	32	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	16.2	15.7	0.48	13.7	14.5	-0.84
Mo Williams	59	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-8	11	16.2	15.4	0.80	15.2	12.7	2.43
Lorenzen Wright	23	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-5	5	15.6	16.0	-0.45	12.6	14.8	-2.19
Sasha Pavlovic	27	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.11	-3	-2	-1	16.5	15.7	0.81	12.5	15.0	-2.49
LeBron James	69	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-2	-1	15.8	16.3	-0.51	14.8	12.7	2.11
Daniel Gibson	48	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.20	-8	3	-11	15.2	16.7	-1.51	12.4	16.3	-3.92
Anderson Varejao	55	56	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.29	-7	2	-9	15.0	17.2	-2.27	13.1	15.9	-2.73
Delonte West	68	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.28	-10	5	-15	15.7	16.5	-0.77	14.8	12.7	2.11

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leon Powe	48	48	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-7	19	13.7	14.8	-1.13	15.1	16.8	-1.72
Paul Pierce	79	75	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-7	19	14.0	15.4	-1.43	15.8	16.3	-0.45
Rajon Rondo	61	58	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	1	3	14.0	14.7	-0.75	16.7	14.6	2.10
Ray Allen	80	77	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	6	-7	14.8	11.8	3.05	16.3	14.2	2.11
Kevin Garnett	72	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	0	5	14.7	12.9	1.83	15.9	15.9	0.03
Eddie House	36	36	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.12	1	4	-3	14.7	14.0	0.75	14.6	16.7	-2.10
Tony Allen	35	36	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	7	-9	13.7	14.6	-0.97	15.3	16.3	-1.02
Glen Davis	32	31	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	4	-3	13.7	14.6	-0.93	16.4	15.7	0.72
Kendrick Perkins	42	40	-0.07	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	12	-19	14.6	14.0	0.56	16.5	15.4	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 94, DAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.8%
DEN 101, PHX 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.8,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	92.7%
WAS 105, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.69,0.89,0.91,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.73,1	92.6%