NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	109		Excitement	2.5 [251]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +35.8%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	1.5 [740]		LVP	Raymond Felton (NYK): -17.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.36	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.29,0.36	0.15	0.19	-0.02	17	69%	0.52	5	-0.16	18	89%	0.10
Chandler Parsons	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.18	0.12	0.00	11	79%	0.29	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Jeremy Lin	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	16	55%	0.15	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Francisco Garcia	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Jones	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	5	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Omri Casspi	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Brooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.04	-0.03	5	39%	0.01	5	-0.16	8	62%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.20	0.15	0.02	12	86%	0.34	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.23,0.18,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.20	-0.00	0.02	30	63%	0.30	3	-0.13	11	82%	0.07
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	3	89%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.09,0.04,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	16	38%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	9	40%	-0.05	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.5	3.0	33.4	16.7	26.7	1.0	47.8	162.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +34.4%

HOU +24.3%

HOU +17.1%

NYK -24.7%

NYK -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NYK	NBA	HOU	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	15.1	116.0	111.6	105.2
season	14.3	16.0		109.5	106.4
opponent	15.4	15.2		107.6	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.7	14.7	16.4	13.9	15.2
NYK	13.7	14.7	17.1	16.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Jones	66	67	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.44	9	-6	15	15.2	15.1	0.13	15.4	15.0	0.45
James Harden	81	83	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.49	3	0	3	15.7	12.1	3.58	15.0	17.7	-2.69
Dwight Howard	65	66	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.37	1	2	-1	16.0	13.4	2.57	15.0	16.0	-0.94
Francisco Garcia	32	34	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	-5	13	14.7	15.4	-0.62	15.3	15.3	-0.03
Jeremy Lin	62	61	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.32	-2	5	-7	13.9	17.6	-3.69	15.7	14.7	0.95
Chandler Parsons	70	71	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.37	-6	9	-15	15.3	14.7	0.61	15.6	14.5	1.15
Omri Casspi	33	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	-7	17	14.2	15.7	-1.55	16.4	14.7	1.75
Patrick Beverley	56	56	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.21	-4	7	-11	15.9	14.0	1.95	14.6	16.4	-1.81
Greg Smith	1	2	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	2	-1	8.0	15.2	-7.24	16.0	15.3	0.70
Aaron Brooks	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	3	-3	3.0	15.3	-12.29	0.0	15.3	-15.32
Ronnie Brewer	7	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	7	-11	13.4	15.3	-1.87	11.6	15.5	-3.92

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	61	59	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.28	14	-17	31	14.5	16.8	-2.26	15.6	14.3	1.30
Amar'e Stoudemire	12	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	4	-11	14.2	15.5	-1.32	12.6	15.5	-2.95
Andrea Bargnani	65	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.35	7	-10	17	15.2	15.5	-0.22	15.2	15.0	0.18
Kenyon Martin	18	17	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	0	-3	16.3	15.1	1.26	16.8	14.8	1.96
Carmelo Anthony	86	86	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.43	7	-10	17	15.0	18.4	-3.46	15.3	14.0	1.27
Raymond Felton	80	78	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.34	4	-7	11	15.3	15.2	0.14	15.4	14.1	1.25
Pablo Prigioni	15	16	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	4	-11	15.2	15.3	-0.14	14.1	15.4	-1.25
Tim Hardaway Jr.	29	28	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	7	-17	16.1	15.0	1.18	13.5	15.8	-2.31
J.R. Smith	75	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-2	1	15.4	14.9	0.46	15.6	13.4	2.24
Metta World Peace	34	34	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.00	-19	16	-35	16.7	14.6	2.12	14.4	15.6	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 81, IND 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.18,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.27,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.08,0	93.1%
IND 86, WAS 74	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.08,0.02,0,0,0	92.7%
MIL 104, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.01,0.01,0,0	91.8%