NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	104		Excitement	6.6 [528]		MVP	Elfrid Payton (ORL): +15.6%
Orlando Magic	96		Comeback	1.4 [630]		LVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): -21.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Henson	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.04	0.03	13	62%	0.11	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Greg Monroe	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	6	69%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	9	68%	0.13	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	11	69%	0.14	6	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01
Jabari Parker	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	8	47%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Tony Snell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	13	31%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.01	9	73%	0.20	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.02	-0.00	21	60%	0.18	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.01	15	53%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.02	7	79%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.06	17	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	5	29%	-0.07	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	6	14%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.19	-0.05	-0.02	12	0%	-0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	27.2	15.6	23.5	2.3	30.6	126.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +51.1%

ORL -5.5%

MIL +4.9%

ORL -1.2%

MIL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ORL	NBA	MIL	ORL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.1	14.8	106.1	98.0	107.7
season	14.9	14.6		107.4	103.0
opponent	14.9	15.3		109.8	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.1	14.2	15.3	14.6	14.3
ORL	14.6	15.1	16.0	14.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Snell	70	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	-1	10	14.1	14.9	-0.80	15.8	13.4	2.39
Matthew Dellavedova	65	64	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.28	4	4	0	14.1	14.7	-0.67	15.0	15.3	-0.29
Giannis Antetokounmpo	62	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.11	9	-1	10	14.0	14.7	-0.73	15.1	15.1	0.07
John Henson	58	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	7	-6	14.2	14.4	-0.24	16.0	13.9	2.06
Jabari Parker	59	58	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	6	-4	14.0	14.7	-0.76	15.7	14.2	1.44
Greg Monroe	34	34	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	1	6	14.8	14.0	0.73	14.2	15.6	-1.42
Jason Terry	29	29	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	5	-2	15.7	13.7	1.95	14.2	15.5	-1.27
Michael Beasley	36	36	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	3	2	13.7	14.6	-0.98	14.2	15.6	-1.43
Mirza Teletovic	30	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	10	-12	15.6	13.7	1.85	15.3	15.0	0.29
Malcolm Brogdon	41	42	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	6	-4	14.5	14.1	0.39	14.5	15.5	-1.01
Miles Plumlee	6	7	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	8	-8	12.5	14.4	-1.90	12.6	15.3	-2.73

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gordon	69	67	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.09	4	-12	16	14.9	15.5	-0.59	13.8	15.4	-1.56
CJ Watson	41	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-7	6	14.8	15.4	-0.59	15.3	13.6	1.69
Nikola Vucevic	63	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-7	6	14.7	15.9	-1.22	14.9	13.3	1.67
Serge Ibaka	66	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-3	-2	15.5	14.3	1.17	13.9	15.0	-1.11
Bismack Biyombo	65	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-2	-4	15.5	14.3	1.25	14.3	14.3	-0.05
D.J. Augustin	50	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	0	-8	15.7	14.4	1.30	13.7	14.9	-1.13
Elfrid Payton	59	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	0	-8	14.8	15.6	-0.81	14.6	13.7	0.94
Evan Fournier	77	78	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.20	-15	7	-22	14.9	15.7	-0.72	14.1	15.0	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 86, WAS 74	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.08,0.02,0,0,0	94.0%
NJN 101, MEM 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.13,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.02,0	93.7%
TOR 90, CHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.02,0	93.5%