NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	97		Excitement	6.2 [592]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +13.8%
Miami Heat	102		Comeback	2.5 [683]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -14.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13	0.15	0.04	0.07	15	77%	0.20	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.01	11	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	52%	0.06	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Reggie Bullock	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.03	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	11	54%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	11	41%	-0.01	5	-0.14	5	100%	0.03

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.11	-0.01	22	60%	0.34	7	-0.21	4	75%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	3	91%	0.18	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	1	133%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	58%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	63%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	8	55%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Mario Chalmers	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	55%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	13	51%	0.07	4	-0.09	9	56%	-0.03
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	3.4	34.5	18.7	30.8	2.8	39.4	156.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +19.1%

MIA +6.2%

MIA +4.5%

MIA +13.3%

MIA +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIA	NBA	LAC	MIA	NBA
this game	15.4	16.2	15.1	106.6	112.1	105.2
season	14.3	15.6		111.0	109.7
opponent	15.8	15.4		105.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.8	12.8	19.6	14.4	15.4
MIA	16.2	15.5	17.3	16.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Bullock	1	0	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-5	5	20.0	15.4	4.62	0.0	16.2	-16.22
Jared Dudley	54	54	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-5	5	14.6	16.6	-1.96	16.2	16.3	-0.09
Chris Paul	70	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-9	13	16.1	13.3	2.79	16.1	16.6	-0.46
Byron Mullens	13	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-2	-1	17.4	15.1	2.28	18.4	15.8	2.61
JJ Redick	61	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.31	6	-11	17	14.4	17.4	-2.99	15.9	16.8	-0.87
Willie Green	24	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	0	-5	17.3	14.8	2.53	17.1	15.9	1.24
Blake Griffin	72	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.30	3	-8	11	16.1	13.0	3.07	16.2	16.4	-0.30
DeAndre Jordan	82	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-2	-1	14.9	20.1	-5.20	15.9	19.4	-3.46
Darren Collison	23	22	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.10	-13	8	-21	13.9	16.0	-2.09	16.5	16.1	0.43
Jamal Crawford	55	55	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.31	-14	9	-23	15.7	15.0	0.71	16.1	16.3	-0.19

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	45	45	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.31	15	-10	25	17.5	15.0	2.51	16.5	14.4	2.05
Shane Battier	40	40	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.16	13	-8	21	16.8	15.7	1.08	16.5	14.5	2.00
Dwyane Wade	69	68	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.32	7	-2	9	15.5	18.6	-3.13	14.8	17.3	-2.51
Chris Andersen	34	33	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-7	19	17.1	15.7	1.43	16.7	14.7	1.99
Norris Cole	50	50	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.22	7	-2	9	16.8	15.6	1.20	15.8	15.0	0.82
LeBron James	69	69	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	6	-7	16.1	16.5	-0.43	15.8	14.3	1.46
Chris Bosh	57	58	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.19	-7	12	-19	15.7	17.1	-1.43	14.7	16.7	-1.99
Mario Chalmers	45	46	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.16	-7	12	-19	15.7	16.7	-0.96	14.6	16.3	-1.75
Udonis Haslem	29	29	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	10	-15	16.2	16.2	-0.07	15.4	15.4	-0.02
Rashard Lewis	17	17	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.05	-9	14	-23	14.7	16.6	-1.86	12.4	16.1	-3.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.75,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 92, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.88,0.94,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
DAL 99, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.86,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.98,1	93.9%
MIA 75, TOR 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%