NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	106		Excitement	5.7 [698]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +21.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Comeback	1.8 [556]		LVP	Kevin Love (MIN): -19.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.20	0.05	0.05	21	68%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.01	8	78%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.05	-0.03	7	50%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	4	42%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	13	62%	0.07	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
Ognjen Kuzmic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Nedovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	16	65%	0.09	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Toney Douglas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	8	28%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.03	-0.05	14	58%	0.15	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Martin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	15	61%	0.13	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robbie Hummel	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	6	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	11	40%	-0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.05	0.01	8	33%	-0.05	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.16,-0.23,-0.25,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.07	0.08	25	46%	-0.10	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.3	31.3	15.0	29.1	0.8	29.2	131.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +69.3%

MIN -16.9%

MIN -9.6%

GSW +6.9%

GSW +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	12.7	14.1	15.1	99.1	86.1	105.2
season	14.2	14.6		105.9	107.3
opponent	14.5	15.3		104.7	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.2	13.6	11.2	15.0	12.7
MIN	14.5	14.1	14.5	13.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	94	93	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	2	9	12.6	13.4	-0.81	14.3	12.7	1.68
Draymond Green	37	40	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	2	9	14.2	11.9	2.36	12.4	15.1	-2.68
Marreese Speights	36	37	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	6	1	12.5	12.8	-0.30	13.0	14.7	-1.65
Harrison Barnes	34	34	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	3	7	10.7	13.6	-2.93	13.8	14.3	-0.46
David Lee	79	77	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.01	10	3	7	13.0	11.7	1.25	14.8	12.5	2.28
Klay Thompson	82	82	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	5	3	13.2	10.9	2.34	14.4	13.3	1.11
Andrew Bogut	36	35	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	10	-7	11.6	13.2	-1.60	15.8	13.3	2.54
Stephen Curry	55	56	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	10	-7	11.6	13.8	-2.13	14.9	13.2	1.73
Toney Douglas	19	21	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	9	-5	12.8	12.6	0.21	12.7	14.5	-1.79
Jermaine O'Neal	54	58	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.14	7	6	1	13.3	12.0	1.26	13.5	14.9	-1.39
Kent Bazemore	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	16	-19	14.3	12.6	1.71	10.0	14.2	-4.23
Ognjen Kuzmic	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	14.3	12.6	1.71	13.5	14.1	-0.62
Nemanja Nedovic	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	14.3	12.6	1.71	13.5	14.1	-0.62

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.J. Price	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	13.5	14.1	-0.62	14.3	12.6	1.71
Shabazz Muhammad	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	13.5	14.1	-0.62	14.3	12.6	1.71
Robbie Hummel	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	13.5	14.1	-0.62	14.3	12.6	1.71
Ricky Rubio	72	72	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-11	9	14.7	12.9	1.79	13.1	11.7	1.38
Corey Brewer	73	74	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-11	9	14.3	13.7	0.67	12.9	12.1	0.89
Alexey Shved	11	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-6	-1	13.5	14.2	-0.63	14.3	12.5	1.81
Gorgui Dieng	15	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-9	5	13.3	14.2	-0.90	13.4	12.6	0.81
Kevin Love	85	85	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.12	-2	-11	9	14.1	14.3	-0.19	12.5	13.5	-0.98
Nikola Pekovic	82	83	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-4	-5	14.5	12.9	1.56	12.9	11.7	1.19
Kevin Martin	86	86	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-5	-3	14.3	13.3	1.00	12.0	15.3	-3.25
Dante Cunningham	32	30	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	1	-15	13.7	14.3	-0.65	12.0	12.9	-0.89
Derrick Williams	44	42	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	-1	-11	13.5	14.5	-0.99	13.0	12.4	0.58
Jose Juan Barea	34	32	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.00	-14	1	-15	12.9	14.7	-1.79	11.5	13.2	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.38,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 94, NOK 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
MIL 96, TOR 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.5%
DET 111, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.31,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.18,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%