NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	87		Excitement	3.4 [1113]		MVP	Jeff Green (BOS): +7.7%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	2.5 [706]		LVP	Alec Burks (UTA): -9.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	0.01	0.08	14	67%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.11	-0.01	0.07	20	64%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	12	46%	-0.02	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Ian Clark	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	6	0%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	10	40%	-0.05	3	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01
Michael Harris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	44%	0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.03	13	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	5	64%	0.07	3	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	15	61%	0.09	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	11	55%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	39%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	14	47%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vitor Faverani	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	24.6	15.0	31.3	2.5	26.7	125.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +26.3%

BOS +0.8%

BOS +5.6%

BOS +18.3%

UTA -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	BOS	NBA	UTA	BOS	NBA
this game	14.0	15.5	15.1	89.7	99.0	105.2
season	16.2	15.4		102.1	101.2
opponent	15.0	14.8		106.0	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.2	17.0	12.3	13.9	14.0
BOS	14.0	14.3	15.8	18.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Harris	35	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.38	7	-17	24	14.0	14.0	0.03	17.0	14.7	2.35
Ian Clark	33	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-15	20	13.6	14.2	-0.66	16.8	14.9	1.87
Rudy Gobert	12	12	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.12	-11	1	-12	16.6	13.6	2.94	11.9	16.0	-4.11
Alec Burks	42	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.39	6	-16	22	14.2	13.9	0.36	16.3	14.9	1.37
Jamaal Tinsley	40	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	1	-12	14.4	13.7	0.66	16.4	14.9	1.48
John Lucas III	29	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	3	-16	14.3	13.9	0.48	12.7	16.8	-4.11
Richard Jefferson	67	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.19	-16	6	-22	14.0	14.0	0.06	14.6	17.6	-3.01
Enes Kanter	76	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-6	2	13.9	14.2	-0.29	15.7	14.8	0.97
Gordon Hayward	80	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-9	8	13.7	15.2	-1.49	16.0	13.2	2.88
Derrick Favors	71	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	2	-14	13.6	15.0	-1.40	15.2	16.5	-1.33

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Sullinger	52	50	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-8	26	14.4	16.8	-2.42	13.0	15.1	-2.09
Gerald Wallace	51	51	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	-6	22	14.0	17.2	-3.25	13.1	15.0	-1.84
Jeff Green	73	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	0	10	15.7	15.1	0.59	14.8	12.1	2.68
Kelly Olynyk	61	61	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	0	10	14.9	16.5	-1.60	14.4	13.4	0.94
Phil Pressey	39	37	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	2	6	13.5	16.9	-3.38	14.0	14.0	0.03
Avery Bradley	57	58	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.28	-1	11	-12	16.9	13.5	3.41	14.3	13.5	0.83
Brandon Bass	61	61	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.27	-3	13	-16	16.5	13.9	2.66	14.2	13.7	0.41
Courtney Lee	22	22	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	5	0	14.6	15.8	-1.14	14.2	13.9	0.28
Kris Humphries	11	11	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	7	-4	15.5	15.5	-0.07	15.5	13.8	1.63
Jordan Crawford	52	53	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.17	-8	18	-26	17.2	13.7	3.52	13.4	14.7	-1.35
Vitor Faverani	11	11	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	18	-26	18.7	15.1	3.61	14.4	14.0	0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.98,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, GSW 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SAS 83, MIN 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
PHX 109, MEM 120	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%