NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	109		Excitement	3.6 [1108]		MVP	Tyreke Evans (MEM): +14.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	120		Comeback	2.2 [945]		LVP	Tyler Ulis (PHX): -10.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	8	68%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	67%	0.09	3	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03
TJ Warren	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.05	18	57%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Troy Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Davon Reed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	16	50%	-0.01	3	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Alex Len	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	0.00	0.08	4	71%	-0.01	2	-0.02	9	67%	-0.03
Isaiah Canaan	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dragan Bender	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	0.06	13	50%	-0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.18	0.02	0.05	17	75%	0.16	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Deyonta Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	6	86%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	12	68%	0.10	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Myke Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.01	10	55%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	4	71%	0.02	3	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.02	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	57%	0.02	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	9	45%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.6	29.4	15.4	24.5	1.8	29.0	128.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +39.5%

MEM +2.6%

MEM +1.5%

MEM +6.3%

MEM +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MEM	NBA	PHX	MEM	NBA
this game	13.8	15.3	14.7	110.1	121.2	107.5
season	14.2	15.4		102.6	103.4
opponent	14.6	14.3		109.8	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.5	17.3	13.2	10.3	13.8
MEM	13.2	13.3	15.6	18.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davon Reed	15	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.02	-1	-10	9	13.3	13.9	-0.58	15.8	15.2	0.66
Alex Len	50	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.26	5	-16	21	11.6	16.1	-4.58	16.8	13.6	3.25
Isaiah Canaan	37	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-7	3	15.1	13.1	1.96	12.9	16.5	-3.67
Jared Dudley	55	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-11	11	13.3	14.5	-1.25	16.9	13.1	3.79
TJ Warren	74	73	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.22	-1	-10	9	13.9	13.6	0.25	15.2	15.3	-0.11
Dragan Bender	44	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	0	-11	14.5	13.3	1.25	13.1	16.9	-3.79
Tyler Ulis	62	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-4	-3	13.1	15.1	-1.96	16.5	12.9	3.67
Josh Jackson	60	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-6	1	12.4	16.0	-3.63	16.4	13.4	2.95
Troy Daniels	49	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.09	-15	4	-19	15.6	12.1	3.57	13.7	16.7	-3.06
Greg Monroe	49	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.08	-16	5	-21	16.1	11.6	4.58	13.6	16.8	-3.25

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	52	53	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.12	25	-14	39	15.3	15.3	0.01	13.8	13.8	-0.04
Wayne Selden	64	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	5	1	14.4	16.8	-2.38	14.8	12.1	2.65
Deyonta Davis	35	35	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.10	7	4	3	16.2	14.7	1.49	12.2	14.7	-2.52
Mario Chalmers	40	41	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.23	18	-7	25	13.8	16.3	-2.45	15.0	13.0	2.04
Jarell Martin	72	71	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	7	-3	16.2	12.9	3.26	13.2	15.5	-2.38
Marc Gasol	50	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	1	9	13.0	17.6	-4.57	15.4	12.2	3.19
Andrew Harrison	60	59	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.32	-4	15	-19	16.3	13.7	2.55	13.7	14.0	-0.25
Ivan Rabb	40	40	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	9	-7	15.6	15.0	0.65	13.7	13.9	-0.17
Myke Henry	26	25	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.37	-10	21	-31	18.7	14.0	4.65	10.6	14.9	-4.27
Dillon Brooks	56	56	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	14	-17	14.6	16.1	-1.55	14.0	13.7	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 86, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.69,0.75,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
DET 93, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	95.5%
PHI 96, SAS 123	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%