NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	116		Excitement	5.2 [800]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +18.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	102		Comeback	1.0 [922]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): -12.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.06	-0.02	16	67%	0.22	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	10	68%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	12	70%	0.10	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	10	64%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Eric Maynor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	20	40%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	13	75%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
James Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	10	62%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Daniel Orton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	67%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	57%	0.02	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	21	41%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	0.04	16	64%	0.04	6	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	11	29%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.7	29.0	15.4	23.7	1.8	29.5	123.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +29.3%

WAS +0.3%

PHI -1.9%

WAS +20.2%

WAS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.4	12.9	15.1	113.7	100.0	105.2
season	15.1	13.7		103.8	98.4
opponent	15.0	15.5		108.4	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.6	14.3	15.2	18.8	15.4
PHI	12.6	12.9	14.8	11.2	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	82	83	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.05	20	-6	26	15.5	14.9	0.54	12.7	13.5	-0.76
John Wall	74	75	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.06	19	-5	24	15.4	15.3	0.08	12.9	12.7	0.15
Nene	62	64	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.14	20	-6	26	15.6	15.1	0.51	12.9	12.8	0.02
Trevor Ariza	74	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	1	12	14.7	17.3	-2.62	13.7	10.7	3.00
Marcin Gortat	79	81	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	0	14	15.9	13.6	2.35	12.8	13.2	-0.49
Kevin Seraphin	20	18	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	14	-14	13.1	15.9	-2.84	13.1	12.8	0.25
Martell Webster	53	52	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.22	-6	20	-26	16.7	14.0	2.74	11.8	14.0	-2.17
Al Harrington	38	36	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	19	-24	14.5	15.9	-1.41	13.1	12.7	0.44
Eric Maynor	28	27	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.15	-5	19	-24	15.3	15.4	-0.08	12.7	12.9	-0.15

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Orton	15	15	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-16	18	11.9	13.0	-1.16	14.3	15.6	-1.23
Tony Wroten	40	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.18	5	-19	24	13.1	12.7	0.45	14.4	16.0	-1.58
Hollis Thompson	10	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-12	10	14.6	12.7	1.94	14.1	15.5	-1.39
Darius Morris	31	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-12	10	13.7	12.5	1.23	13.5	16.2	-2.74
Lavoy Allen	35	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-14	14	11.7	13.5	-1.82	16.6	14.8	1.85
James Anderson	68	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-9	4	12.0	14.6	-2.60	16.2	13.6	2.56
Spencer Hawes	82	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-5	-4	13.1	11.6	1.50	15.6	14.4	1.25
Thaddeus Young	72	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.11	-21	7	-28	13.3	11.8	1.54	14.7	16.9	-2.15
Evan Turner	82	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.06	-20	6	-26	12.9	12.6	0.25	15.6	14.5	1.11
Michael Carter-Williams	75	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.00	-18	4	-22	12.9	12.9	0.00	15.8	14.1	1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, CHI 75	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
DET 110, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
OKC 104, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%