NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	90		Excitement	6.9 [434]		MVP	Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (CHA): +12.5%
Charlotte Bobcats	92		Comeback	1.8 [487]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -18.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.04	0.02	8	67%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Landry Fields	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	60%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	9	72%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julyan Stone	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	6	69%	0.04	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.17	-0.03	-0.13	-0.00	16	41%	-0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Rudy Gay	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	21	43%	-0.07	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.02	7	87%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.1	0.10	0.07	-0.03	-0.06	17	61%	0.16	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	3	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	57%	0.06	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.07
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.06	-0.01	14	41%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.02
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	13	19%	-0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.4	32.4	15.0	27.1	1.7	34.0	132.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +46.9%

TOR -11.1%

TOR -6.6%

CHA +17.9%

CHA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHA	NBA	TOR	CHA	NBA
this game	17.4	16.7	15.1	104.7	110.8	105.2
season	15.9	15.7		107.2	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.1		103.1	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	20.1	15.6	18.0	16.2	17.4
CHA	15.9	15.0	16.3	19.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Daye	6	5	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-6	10	16.7	17.4	-0.78	17.2	16.6	0.56
D.J. Augustin	11	11	0.04	-0.55	0.59	-0.10	5	-7	12	19.1	17.1	1.94	15.9	16.8	-0.88
Terrence Ross	20	19	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.17	7	-9	16	17.4	17.4	0.01	19.2	15.9	3.22
Julyan Stone	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-4	6	20.8	16.8	4.07	17.3	16.6	0.73
Tyler Hansbrough	37	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-4	6	18.5	16.5	2.01	16.5	16.8	-0.39
Landry Fields	30	27	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-5	8	16.3	18.0	-1.68	18.1	16.0	2.13
Jonas Valanciunas	50	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	11	-24	17.8	16.8	1.06	15.5	18.4	-2.94
Amir Johnson	65	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-1	0	17.1	18.4	-1.37	17.3	14.8	2.47
DeMar DeRozan	69	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.39	-1	-1	0	17.3	17.9	-0.61	16.5	17.5	-0.97
Kyle Lowry	62	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	7	-16	16.4	20.0	-3.67	16.7	16.7	-0.01
Rudy Gay	67	64	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.28	-9	7	-16	17.4	17.3	0.17	15.9	19.2	-3.22

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	67	70	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-7	16	16.4	17.6	-1.18	16.9	19.4	-2.51
Josh McRoberts	54	57	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	-1	4	16.2	17.5	-1.30	16.6	18.9	-2.21
Gerald Henderson	61	63	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.33	1	1	0	16.3	17.6	-1.31	16.8	19.0	-2.13
Bismack Biyombo	69	72	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	2	-2	16.9	15.7	1.16	17.3	17.7	-0.38
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	48	49	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	3	-4	17.7	15.3	2.40	18.3	16.2	2.02
Jeff Adrien	14	14	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	0	2	15.7	16.9	-1.16	17.7	17.3	0.38
Jeff Taylor	49	52	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	2	-2	15.9	17.8	-1.90	17.2	17.6	-0.42
Ramon Sessions	24	24	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	5	-8	17.7	16.2	1.51	18.8	16.8	1.99
Cody Zeller	29	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	3	-4	17.5	16.2	1.30	18.9	16.6	2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 89, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.61,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.68,0.91,1	93.0%
GSW 107, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.96,1,1,1	92.8%
DAL 106, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.74,1	92.8%