inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 105 Excitement4.7 [882] MVPJames Harden (HOU): +19.3%
Houston Rockets 113 Comeback1.1 [1099] LVPJose Calderon (DAL): -13.6%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gal Mekel0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.000.02779%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.000.021554%0.041-0.021191%0.03
Samuel Dalembert0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00555%0.021-0.0110%-0.02
Bernard James0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ricky Ledo-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01350%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,00.150.000.16894%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.00935%-0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Wayne Ellington-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.02727%-0.0500.001100%0.00
Vince Carter-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01833%-0.061-0.012100%0.01
DeJuan Blair-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.030.011146%-0.002-0.07250%-0.01
Monta Ellis-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.010.021945%-0.035-0.09683%0.01
Jose Calderon-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.15-0.02-0.0380%-0.111-0.0300%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.220.020.051779%0.264-0.07989%0.02
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.01667%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Omri Casspi0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.010.01867%0.051-0.01250%-0.01
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.06-0.010.05862%0.011-0.015100%0.01
Donatas Motiejunas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Greg Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ronnie Brewer00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terrence Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01150%-0.0000.00475%-0.00
Omer Asik0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.03450%0.032-0.04450%-0.01
Jeremy Lin0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.070.000.01956%0.036-0.11786%0.02
Dwight Howard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.000.001041%-0.033-0.071242%-0.10
Chandler Parsons0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.010.01841%-0.053-0.05650%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.41.828.316.338.72.335.6151.4
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +53.5%
HOU +0.2%
HOU +6.4%
DAL -11.0%
HOU +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALHOUNBADALHOUNBA
this game14.712.615.199.1107.6105.2
season15.314.3109.0109.5
opponent15.215.0105.4107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.615.115.413.414.7
HOU14.213.19.813.812.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ricky Ledo1111-0.00-0.500.50-0.248-162411.215.1-3.8712.612.6-0.00
Bernard James1213-0.02-0.480.45-0.237-152210.915.1-4.2112.512.7-0.20
Dirk Nowitzki6465-0.09-0.410.32-0.183-111413.815.9-2.1213.710.92.73
Samuel Dalembert4646-0.14-0.360.23-0.05-3-5215.314.11.1913.511.91.61
Jae Crowder2929-0.16-0.340.18-0.10-2-6414.314.8-0.4711.713.0-1.36
Jose Calderon5555-0.20-0.300.10-0.06-5-3-215.214.11.0712.213.1-0.92
Wayne Ellington3636-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.19-2-6413.515.2-1.7012.612.7-0.04
Monta Ellis7169-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.08-6-2-415.113.71.3612.712.60.04
Vince Carter5957-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.13-5-3-215.114.11.0512.313.0-0.71
Gal Mekel5050-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.20-3-5214.315.0-0.7413.112.20.92
DeJuan Blair4039-0.39-0.11-0.290.08-168-2414.914.50.3613.012.40.62
Shawn Marion5755-0.42-0.08-0.330.05-168-2416.013.02.9911.314.1-2.87

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Harden86850.53-0.030.56-0.0620-123212.314.0-1.6615.611.04.61
Omri Casspi48470.430.070.37-0.0617-92612.013.1-1.1015.114.30.89
Francisco Garcia53550.410.090.31-0.1218-102812.812.40.4314.714.50.20
Jeremy Lin66680.340.160.18-0.0714-62011.714.2-2.4915.513.12.37
Omer Asik32350.320.180.15-0.0312-41612.112.9-0.7415.614.21.42
Dwight Howard68690.200.30-0.100.0844012.512.9-0.3915.213.61.58
Chandler Parsons78790.190.31-0.110.0262412.612.9-0.3415.113.41.72
Aaron Brooks48500.130.37-0.240.39-917-2614.411.23.1612.916.2-3.28
Donatas Motiejunas1090.000.50-0.500.26-917-2613.112.60.519.215.2-5.93
Greg Smith1090.000.50-0.500.26-917-2613.112.60.519.215.2-5.93
Terrence Jones1090.000.50-0.500.26-917-2613.112.60.519.215.2-5.93
Ronnie Brewer1615-0.060.56-0.620.38-1523-3815.212.23.0112.215.1-2.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 84, ORL 1010.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,195.9%
POR 78, NYK 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
MIA 100, HOU 1120.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,195.6%