NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	105		Excitement	2.8 [1222]		MVP	Dorell Wright (PHI): +8.0%
Indiana Pacers	95		Comeback	1.0 [594]		LVP	Tyler Hansbrough (IND): -6.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.17	0.01	0.10	15	70%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.06	8	44%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Arnett Moultrie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.05	11	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	18	42%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.02	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	11	60%	0.04	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.20	-0.01	0.18	23	72%	0.05	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.03	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Ben Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.06	8	52%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	5	33%	-0.00	3	-0.04	5	20%	-0.03
Orlando Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	8	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	9	42%	-0.03	3	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.4	24.4	15.5	26.4	1.8	28.8	125.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +38.8%

IND -0.4%

PHI +10.0%

IND -0.1%

PHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.6	14.5	15.4	109.4	100.0	104.1
season	15.5	16.1		100.5	102.4
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.0	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.0	14.2	16.0	18.3	15.6
IND	17.3	15.2	13.3	12.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	79	81	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-1	12	15.8	14.6	1.16	14.0	17.7	-3.71
Thaddeus Young	42	43	0.34	0.17	0.17	-0.08	14	-4	18	14.9	16.2	-1.33	15.3	13.9	1.42
Dorell Wright	72	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	3	4	15.8	15.0	0.86	14.5	14.6	-0.09
Lavoy Allen	64	64	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	6	-2	15.6	15.6	0.06	14.8	14.0	0.81
Damien Wilkins	71	70	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	7	-4	15.8	15.0	0.76	14.5	14.8	-0.29
Arnett Moultrie	59	57	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.27	-1	11	-12	15.8	15.3	0.54	13.8	15.7	-1.89
Jrue Holiday	18	19	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.09	10	0	10	13.5	16.1	-2.59	16.5	14.1	2.41
Justin Holiday	54	51	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	11	-12	15.5	15.7	-0.15	14.9	14.1	0.81
Spencer Hawes	8	9	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.12	9	1	8	15.4	15.6	-0.25	14.9	14.5	0.38
Nick Young	13	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	16	-22	16.8	15.4	1.35	13.3	14.7	-1.39

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Hansbrough	34	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-14	18	13.6	15.1	-1.45	17.0	14.8	2.16
Sam Young	39	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-13	16	14.3	14.7	-0.36	16.6	14.9	1.70
Orlando Johnson	32	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-5	0	15.1	14.3	0.82	14.5	16.2	-1.66
Miles Plumlee	14	14	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	0	-10	14.4	14.6	-0.22	14.1	15.9	-1.71
Tyler Hansbrough	53	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-7	4	15.5	13.3	2.18	14.9	16.5	-1.54
Jeff Ayres	57	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-10	10	14.1	15.2	-1.02	15.5	15.7	-0.15
D.J. Augustin	46	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	0	-10	16.2	13.0	3.28	14.9	16.3	-1.35
Ian Mahinmi	66	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-3	-4	14.2	15.4	-1.25	16.5	13.6	2.92
Gerald Green	80	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-4	-2	14.0	17.3	-3.31	15.9	14.2	1.70
Lance Stephenson	54	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	6	-22	14.3	14.9	-0.58	14.9	16.6	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 96, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.02,0	96.9%
LAC 122, HOU 106	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.9%
HOU 114, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0	96.7%