NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	1.3 [967]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +18.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	111		Comeback	1.0 [1292]		LVP	Chase Budinger (MIN): -4.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	9	55%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Pekovic	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	13	61%	0.07	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Greg Stiemsma	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.05	12	50%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Alexey Shved	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	10	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	8	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	10	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	0.01
Chase Budinger	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	10	35%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.05	-0.01	11	76%	0.20	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Willie Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.04	-0.00	8	83%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	6	83%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	9	70%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Maalik Wayns	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	13	66%	0.13	5	-0.16	3	33%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	12	46%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.3	29.4	17.8	24.5	2.4	22.6	123.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +63.9%

MIN -7.1%

LAC +7.6%

MIN -14.4%

LAC +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.8	14.7	15.4	100.0	118.1	104.1
season	15.6	15.6		101.3	109.0
opponent	15.7	14.9		102.8	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.0	15.0	16.6	14.8	15.8
LAC	15.8	14.3	14.0	14.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Gelabale	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-22	28	8.3	16.3	-7.98	13.1	14.8	-1.64
Chris Johnson	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-22	28	8.3	16.3	-7.98	13.1	14.8	-1.64
Alexey Shved	47	47	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-18	20	14.8	16.8	-1.98	15.4	13.9	1.57
Greg Stiemsma	47	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-13	10	14.7	16.9	-2.11	14.6	14.7	-0.06
Andrei Kirilenko	57	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-7	-2	16.9	14.2	2.67	15.5	13.4	2.07
Jose Juan Barea	41	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	-4	-8	15.7	15.9	-0.14	14.4	14.8	-0.38
Ricky Rubio	45	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	-3	-10	16.9	14.8	2.09	14.1	15.1	-1.01
Chase Budinger	56	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.04	-13	-3	-10	15.1	16.9	-1.80	14.0	15.6	-1.59
Nikola Pekovic	48	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.05	-13	-3	-10	16.9	14.7	2.11	14.7	14.6	0.06
Luke Ridnour	51	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	-1	-14	16.7	14.8	1.93	14.8	14.5	0.26
Derrick Williams	71	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.00	-16	0	-16	16.2	14.7	1.42	14.7	14.6	0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	58	60	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.03	20	-4	24	14.5	14.9	-0.46	16.7	14.3	2.41
Caron Butler	48	48	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-2	20	13.5	15.9	-2.45	17.1	14.5	2.53
Blake Griffin	56	58	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	-1	18	14.4	15.0	-0.57	16.9	14.0	2.92
Willie Green	39	38	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-2	20	13.5	15.5	-2.00	16.9	15.1	1.85
DeAndre Jordan	49	49	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	0	16	13.6	15.8	-2.23	16.8	14.8	2.04
Lamar Odom	35	36	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.13	8	8	0	15.7	14.0	1.68	15.4	16.1	-0.68
Jamal Crawford	55	57	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	18	-20	15.5	13.5	2.00	15.1	16.9	-1.85
Maalik Wayns	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	22	-28	13.1	14.8	-1.64	8.3	16.3	-7.98
Ronny Turiaf	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	22	-28	13.1	14.8	-1.64	8.3	16.3	-7.98
Matt Barnes	39	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.13	4	12	-8	16.4	13.4	2.99	15.4	16.1	-0.65
Ryan Hollins	41	41	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	19	-22	15.6	13.9	1.69	14.5	16.8	-2.33
Eric Bledsoe	36	35	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	20	-24	14.9	14.5	0.46	14.3	16.7	-2.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.86,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 88, DEN 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
GSW 102, CHH 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
UTA 104, SAS 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%