NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	86		Excitement	5.2 [766]		MVP	Wilson Chandler (DEN): +24.5%
Denver Nuggets	96		Comeback	2.6 [603]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (DEN): -13.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.03	14	53%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Danny Green	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	11	45%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.02	0.04	7	71%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Aron Baynes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nando De Colo	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.02	0.05	15	52%	0.02	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.03	-0.06	7	33%	0.04	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Patty Mills	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	7	13%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Matt Bonner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	9	50%	0.05	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,0,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.11	0.11	-0.02	20	66%	0.33	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.06	-0.02	25	51%	0.16	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	8	37%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	4	30%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	8	55%	0.04	3	-0.06	6	67%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	11	46%	-0.02	7	-0.12	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	3.6	30.3	17.7	24.8	3.5	29.2	134.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +33.6%

SAS -0.5%

DEN +18.8%

SAS -4.4%

DEN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	DEN	NBA	SAS	DEN	NBA
this game	15.4	14.8	15.4	90.5	100.0	104.1
season	15.2	14.4		106.4	108.4
opponent	15.4	15.1		104.0	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.0	16.3	15.2	14.0	15.4
DEN	14.7	13.0	16.1	15.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tiago Splitter	44	42	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.05	2	-12	14	15.3	15.4	-0.09	16.3	13.6	2.65
Aron Baynes	12	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-13	16	12.2	15.9	-3.69	18.5	14.2	4.27
Nando De Colo	40	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-11	12	15.4	15.3	0.10	15.9	13.9	1.98
Tim Duncan	52	53	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-14	18	15.5	15.2	0.33	15.3	14.1	1.19
Danny Green	46	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-10	10	15.5	15.2	0.30	15.8	13.8	2.03
Kawhi Leonard	56	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-7	4	15.6	15.1	0.44	15.3	14.0	1.32
Matt Bonner	30	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	1	-12	16.2	15.0	1.23	12.4	15.9	-3.47
Patty Mills	42	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-1	-8	15.3	15.5	-0.14	14.3	15.1	-0.75
Gary Neal	49	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	0	-10	15.2	15.5	-0.30	13.8	15.8	-2.03
Cory Joseph	55	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	1	-12	15.3	15.4	-0.10	13.9	15.9	-1.98
DeJuan Blair	49	50	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.11	-16	6	-22	15.4	15.4	0.04	13.2	16.5	-3.28

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	70	69	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.01	30	-20	50	13.6	17.8	-4.22	15.6	14.7	0.91
Evan Fournier	39	37	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.00	20	-10	30	13.0	16.0	-3.03	16.3	14.8	1.49
JaVale McGee	35	34	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-8	26	12.2	16.3	-4.09	16.7	14.6	2.10
Wilson Chandler	80	79	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	4	2	15.1	13.2	1.90	15.2	16.3	-1.11
Andre Iguodala	88	87	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	5	0	14.7	15.6	-0.93	15.3	16.5	-1.21
Anthony Randolph	17	17	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	4	2	11.4	15.5	-4.08	16.6	15.1	1.46
Andre Miller	64	65	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.19	-7	17	-24	16.5	11.4	5.09	14.9	16.4	-1.48
Kosta Koufos	40	41	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.21	-10	20	-30	15.7	14.1	1.55	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Kenneth Faried	47	46	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.25	-18	28	-46	17.6	12.0	5.62	14.4	16.3	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.45,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 88, DET 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.7,0.78,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.8%
SEA 93, VAN 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.9,0.98,0.92,0.84,1	92.7%
POR 76, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.5%