NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	83		Excitement	2.5 [1257]		MVP	Brook Lopez (BKN): +8.5%
Brooklyn Nets	104		Comeback	1.1 [1187]		LVP	Spencer Hawes (PHI): -8.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.15	0.00	0.12	10	82%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	10	41%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	10	68%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arnett Moultrie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	9	15%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	9	35%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.01	22	60%	0.09	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	55%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	57%	0.05	1	-0.00	10	50%	-0.02
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	4	20%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	8	61%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyshawn Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	8	22%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	10	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	6	25%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	60%	-0.01	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	25.2	15.4	22.5	2.4	24.6	114.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +24.1%

BKN +3.7%

BKN +23.0%

PHI -0.8%

PHI -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BKN	NBA	PHI	BKN	NBA
this game	14.9	16.9	15.4	92.2	114.3	104.1
season	15.5	16.5		100.5	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.2	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.5	14.7	14.1	14.3	14.9
BKN	16.2	17.2	17.2	17.0	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	40	40	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.23	10	-31	41	13.7	15.9	-2.23	17.6	16.3	1.34
Charles Jenkins	19	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-26	31	14.2	15.1	-0.89	16.1	17.1	-0.96
Justin Holiday	31	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-24	27	13.7	15.5	-1.78	17.4	16.6	0.79
Arnett Moultrie	47	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-23	25	14.1	15.8	-1.68	17.3	16.5	0.82
Thaddeus Young	45	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.17	-12	-9	-3	14.7	15.1	-0.40	16.7	17.1	-0.32
Dorell Wright	34	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-13	5	15.2	14.7	0.52	18.5	16.0	2.44
Lavoy Allen	45	45	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-14	7	15.5	14.4	1.11	17.3	16.5	0.81
Damien Wilkins	40	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.25	-22	1	-23	16.0	14.0	2.00	16.2	17.5	-1.33
Evan Turner	54	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.19	-20	-1	-19	14.8	15.1	-0.38	16.5	17.6	-1.08
Spencer Hawes	43	44	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.25	-25	4	-29	15.4	14.4	0.97	16.2	17.5	-1.30
Jrue Holiday	52	53	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.34	-31	10	-41	15.9	13.6	2.35	16.4	17.7	-1.30

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	56	55	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.28	29	-8	37	16.6	17.3	-0.67	15.6	13.9	1.68
Gerald Wallace	50	50	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.34	30	-9	39	16.4	17.5	-1.11	15.9	13.7	2.23
Brook Lopez	50	50	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.34	30	-9	39	16.4	17.5	-1.11	15.9	13.7	2.23
Deron Williams	50	50	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.24	24	-3	27	16.7	17.1	-0.40	15.4	14.3	1.01
MarShon Brooks	46	45	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	8	5	17.1	16.7	0.46	15.4	14.5	0.89
Joe Johnson	45	45	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	13	-5	16.7	17.1	-0.46	14.5	15.4	-0.89
CJ Watson	33	33	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	21	-21	18.4	16.0	2.39	14.2	15.3	-1.10
Mirza Teletovic	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	26	-31	14.5	17.2	-2.78	13.4	15.1	-1.70
Tyshawn Taylor	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	26	-31	14.5	17.2	-2.78	13.4	15.1	-1.70
Kris Joseph	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	26	-31	14.5	17.2	-2.78	13.4	15.1	-1.70
Andray Blatche	30	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	25	-29	18.6	16.0	2.58	13.8	15.5	-1.72
Jerry Stackhouse	27	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	23	-25	18.3	16.3	1.98	14.2	15.2	-0.98
Kris Humphries	35	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.17	-8	29	-37	17.3	16.6	0.67	13.9	15.6	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 93, BOS 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.68,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
ORL 87, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
NJN 92, DET 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%