NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	92		Excitement	2.4 [1020]		MVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): +9.7%
Detroit Pistons	109		Comeback	1.5 [643]		LVP	MarShon Brooks (NJN): -8.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	55%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	65%	0.01	1	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	10	67%	0.01	3	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	9	74%	0.07	5	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.01	0.05	10	52%	0.01	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Shawne Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	7	12%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	9	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
MarShon Brooks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	7	41%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.01	10	73%	0.10	2	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	13	62%	0.07	2	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	0.00	0.07	9	90%	0.06	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	64%	0.03	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Macklin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	7	76%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	12	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walker Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.6	31.7	15.7	32.3	2.5	28.5	140.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +25.8%

DET +2.1%

DET +13.0%

DET +10.8%

NJN -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	15.1	14.7	15.6	94.8	113.5	102.8
season	16.2	16.3		101.3	99.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		104.4	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.5	14.9	13.2	15.0	15.1
DET	13.1	15.8	15.0	15.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sundiata Gaines	44	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.25	6	-23	29	15.4	14.9	0.48	14.6	14.9	-0.30
Johan Petro	41	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-20	23	14.7	15.4	-0.73	13.9	15.4	-1.47
Jordan Williams	49	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-17	17	15.2	15.0	0.16	14.7	14.8	-0.18
MarShon Brooks	35	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	-8	-1	14.6	15.4	-0.83	13.5	15.5	-2.03
Kris Humphries	51	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	-3	-11	15.0	15.2	-0.13	14.9	14.6	0.37
Anthony Morrow	61	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-3	-11	15.4	14.7	0.69	15.1	14.1	1.01
Jordan Farmar	53	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-3	-11	15.3	14.9	0.44	16.0	13.4	2.63
Shawne Williams	52	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-14	11	15.0	15.2	-0.14	14.4	15.1	-0.65
Shelden Williams	42	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.18	-17	0	-17	14.9	15.3	-0.35	15.7	14.1	1.65
Deron Williams	57	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.26	-23	6	-29	15.3	14.9	0.39	14.3	15.3	-1.05

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	58	58	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.27	26	-9	35	14.1	15.8	-1.69	15.0	15.2	-0.21
Greg Monroe	61	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.23	23	-6	29	14.1	15.9	-1.80	15.1	15.1	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	54	56	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.14	18	-1	19	14.3	15.3	-1.06	14.6	15.8	-1.26
Walker Russell	50	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	9	-1	15.1	14.3	0.84	15.2	15.0	0.24
Jonas Jerebko	50	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	9	-1	14.3	15.2	-0.83	16.6	13.6	3.05
Jason Maxiell	39	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.17	14	3	11	15.2	14.5	0.70	14.6	15.5	-0.94
Brandon Knight	34	35	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.36	17	0	17	13.6	15.3	-1.69	15.5	14.9	0.55
Ben Gordon	44	43	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.20	-4	21	-25	15.3	14.3	1.03	15.7	14.6	1.07
Ben Wallace	26	28	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	15	-13	16.0	14.3	1.78	16.3	14.6	1.71
Austin Daye	36	37	0.04	0.47	-0.43	0.21	-6	23	-29	15.8	14.1	1.75	15.4	14.9	0.40
Damien Wilkins	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	22	-27	15.3	14.7	0.59	6.5	15.7	-9.17
Vernon Macklin	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	25	-33	15.4	14.7	0.78	10.9	15.5	-4.61
Will Bynum	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	25	-33	16.2	14.5	1.63	13.5	15.3	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 88, SAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
ATL 77, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
DET 81, CLE 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%