NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Excitement	6.8 [436]		MVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): +15.0%
Boston Celtics	91		Comeback	2.3 [217]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -23.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.02	0.04	17	67%	0.16	1	-0.01	9	100%	0.04
Wayne Ellington	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.00	8	67%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Alonzo Gee	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	17	47%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Luke Walton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	7	45%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Kevin Jones	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24	-0.21	-0.05	-0.02	20	27%	-0.12	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	13	68%	0.15	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.02	0.00	9	70%	0.11	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	14	48%	0.03	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	14	23%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	12	36%	-0.08	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.6	28.5	15.6	25.3	2.3	44.3	144.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +14.0%

CLE +10.2%

CLE +27.9%

BOS -3.4%

CLE +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	14.6	15.4	99.0	93.8	104.1
season	15.5	14.9		102.5	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.2		101.7	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.2	14.3	12.4	17.8	14.9
BOS	14.2	13.9	18.3	12.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Gee	69	68	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-7	20	14.2	16.4	-2.20	14.8	14.3	0.52
Tristan Thompson	85	84	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-3	12	14.8	15.5	-0.65	14.6	15.0	-0.42
Kyrie Irving	77	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	-2	10	14.8	15.2	-0.43	14.4	15.5	-1.07
Kevin Jones	47	45	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	-4	14	13.3	16.4	-3.12	15.2	14.2	1.00
Wayne Ellington	73	73	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.25	3	3	0	15.7	12.6	3.03	14.0	16.7	-2.75
Tyler Zeller	49	51	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	6	-6	16.6	13.2	3.39	14.5	14.7	-0.19
Shaun Livingston	50	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	7	-8	13.8	16.0	-2.24	15.5	13.8	1.70
CJ Miles	29	29	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	13	-20	16.4	14.2	2.20	14.3	14.8	-0.52
Luke Walton	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	7	-8	15.0	14.9	0.11	16.4	14.5	1.93
Marreese Speights	4	4	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	10	-14	16.2	14.8	1.41	14.2	14.7	-0.41

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shavlik Randolph	25	26	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.18	10	-16	26	15.4	14.4	1.02	14.9	14.9	0.03
Courtney Lee	39	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	5	-16	15.0	14.4	0.60	14.8	15.0	-0.21
Jason Terry	53	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.44	7	-13	20	14.8	14.5	0.25	15.0	14.8	0.18
Jordan Crawford	59	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.44	6	-12	18	14.2	15.4	-1.20	14.6	15.3	-0.64
Chris Wilcox	45	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	5	-16	15.8	13.7	2.12	13.7	15.9	-2.19
Avery Bradley	54	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	2	-10	14.3	15.1	-0.82	16.4	13.1	3.32
Brandon Bass	81	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-3	0	14.5	15.4	-0.88	14.8	15.6	-0.84
Jeff Green	64	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.23	-7	1	-8	14.2	15.5	-1.33	16.2	12.4	3.78
Terrence Williams	65	66	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	7	-20	14.6	14.7	-0.12	13.6	17.5	-3.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.06,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, PHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
ATL 106, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.04,0	93.6%
TOR 100, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%