inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 113 Excitement4.2 [1004] MVPCorey Brewer (DEN): +10.3%
Utah Jazz 96 Comeback1.4 [469] LVPMo Williams (UTA): -16.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corey Brewer0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.01-0.02770%0.131-0.03683%0.01
Evan Fournier0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.150.020.07986%0.1010.003100%0.01
Kenneth Faried0.080,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.10-0.010.011076%0.152-0.07560%-0.02
Danilo Gallinari0.050,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.120.010.081075%0.113-0.06887%0.03
Andre Miller0.050,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.011254%0.0500.0000%0.00
Wilson Chandler0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.01-0.021045%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Kosta Koufos0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Randolph0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0010.004100%0.00
Quincy Miller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jordan Hamilton0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andre Iguodala-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.01-0.031042%0.033-0.06425%-0.01
JaVale McGee-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.01333%-0.032-0.0300%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gordon Hayward0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.110.010.061364%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.05-0.00-0.001162%0.081-0.02450%-0.02
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01-0.03383%0.082-0.0400%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.00771%0.082-0.0500%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.011257%0.051-0.024100%0.01
Earl Watson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alec Burks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.02650%-0.0100.00450%0.00
Derrick Favors0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00844%-0.001-0.022100%0.01
Randy Foye0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01935%-0.051-0.00250%-0.01
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.14-0.03-0.011217%-0.161-0.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.81.525.615.729.01.728.3126.6
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +32.5%
DEN +12.3%
DEN +8.2%
UTA -7.1%
DEN +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENUTANBADENUTANBA
this game14.516.415.4121.5103.2104.1
season14.416.0108.4104.6
opponent15.115.4105.0104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.814.816.813.214.5
UTA17.017.116.715.116.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Miller49500.53-0.030.55-0.0018-11915.313.61.6916.816.00.82
Kosta Koufos43440.470.030.440.031521315.213.91.2717.215.81.45
Kenneth Faried47470.380.120.250.08107315.114.01.1317.615.32.29
Andre Iguodala59580.330.170.160.0698115.712.53.1516.516.30.20
Corey Brewer53560.280.220.05-0.191611513.416.0-2.5817.215.31.90
Danilo Gallinari62610.210.29-0.07-0.0289-115.113.41.6616.715.90.82
Wilson Chandler50500.190.31-0.12-0.10107313.815.3-1.4917.015.81.21
JaVale McGee37370.150.35-0.21-0.15107314.014.9-0.9216.116.7-0.55
Anthony Randolph770.000.50-0.500.03-118-1913.314.6-1.3410.017.0-6.97
Quincy Miller430.000.50-0.500.12-421-2511.214.7-3.423.316.9-13.54
Jordan Hamilton430.000.50-0.500.12-421-2511.214.7-3.423.316.9-13.54
Timofey Mozgov660.000.50-0.500.03-118-1913.014.6-1.639.316.9-7.60
Evan Fournier4443-0.030.53-0.550.00-118-1913.615.3-1.6916.016.8-0.82

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Earl Watson780.00-0.500.50-0.093-202310.017.0-6.9712.614.7-2.08
DeMarre Carroll780.00-0.500.50-0.093-202310.017.0-6.9712.614.7-2.08
Jeremy Evans780.00-0.500.50-0.093-202310.017.0-6.9712.614.7-2.08
Jamaal Tinsley1011-0.02-0.480.45-0.020-171716.316.5-0.1612.514.8-2.35
Alec Burks3638-0.03-0.470.44-0.061-181916.416.5-0.0813.315.4-2.05
Marvin Williams4241-0.11-0.390.28-0.110-171716.416.5-0.0215.413.81.63
Derrick Favors5857-0.17-0.330.160.01-6-11515.717.7-1.9514.015.4-1.41
Paul Millsap5858-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-14-3-1117.514.72.8114.814.10.66
Gordon Hayward5757-0.38-0.12-0.270.06-15-2-1317.015.51.5415.413.22.13
Randy Foye5251-0.43-0.07-0.360.22-225-2717.215.51.7014.414.6-0.21
Mo Williams6260-0.50-0.00-0.500.03-181-1916.815.71.1015.113.51.66
Al Jefferson6968-0.530.03-0.570.05-203-2316.815.41.3814.813.90.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.28,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 104, PHI 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.7%
OKC 110, PHX 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.13,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,095.7%
ATL 96, TOR 780.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%