inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 102 Excitement1.4 [903] MVPErsan Ilyasova (MIL): +18.6%
Milwaukee Bucks 131 Comeback1.4 [826] LVPJosh McRoberts (CHA): -8.0%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kemba Walker0.150,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.120.02-0.011177%0.194-0.051385%0.02
Tyrus Thomas0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.02-0.02965%0.161-0.04250%-0.01
Gerald Henderson0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.01-0.011161%0.082-0.03683%0.01
Bismack Biyombo0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Reggie Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Adrien0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03357%0.0000.0010%0.00
Jannero Pargo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.031036%0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Ben Gordon-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.04-0.00887%0.146-0.1800%0.00
Jeff Taylor-0.060,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.01750%-0.013-0.0400%0.00
Josh McRoberts-0.080,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01840%-0.033-0.054100%0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.160.02-0.001379%0.211-0.022100%0.01
Larry Sanders0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.03-0.011957%0.1300.00450%0.01
Brandon Jennings0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.08-0.01-0.021558%0.131-0.033100%0.01
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.160.000.111277%0.0500.002100%0.00
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.011463%0.104-0.062100%0.01
John Henson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.02250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ekpe Udoh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02440%0.0100.002100%0.01
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.01-0.00450%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Gustavo Ayon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.001450%0.022-0.052100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.529.315.831.01.829.1136.6
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +22.9%
CHA -6.5%
MIL +8.4%
MIL +23.8%
MIL +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAMILNBACHAMILNBA
this game14.114.115.4100.0128.4104.1
season15.614.799.9101.6
opponent15.315.4103.9109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA14.915.212.514.014.1
MIL15.113.612.815.414.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Adrien28250.03-0.530.550.06-1-282713.914.1-0.2214.813.90.92
Reggie Williams980.00-0.500.500.06-2-272511.214.4-3.1417.213.93.37
Jeff Taylor5861-0.08-0.420.350.16-8-211314.813.21.6315.012.92.04
Bismack Biyombo5354-0.13-0.370.240.34-16-13-313.914.3-0.3814.114.10.00
Jannero Pargo4038-0.13-0.370.240.25-13-16314.913.51.3814.513.90.60
Tyrus Thomas4948-0.31-0.19-0.110.10-14-15114.313.80.5014.214.10.04
Ben Gordon4543-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.00-13-16313.514.6-1.1113.114.9-1.74
Kemba Walker7376-0.40-0.10-0.300.19-20-9-1114.014.3-0.2614.114.2-0.01
Gerald Henderson7575-0.510.01-0.530.40-312-3314.014.2-0.1813.216.9-3.68
Josh McRoberts8082-0.590.09-0.680.20-27-2-2514.014.5-0.5814.313.70.56

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Monta Ellis88860.500.000.49-0.212451913.916.0-2.1514.710.83.89
Larry Sanders65620.410.090.32-0.262361714.413.70.7415.112.52.65
Mike Dunleavy65670.350.150.21-0.412632314.114.2-0.1114.213.90.22
Ersan Ilyasova67650.340.160.17-0.131613314.014.4-0.3913.714.7-1.01
Brandon Jennings53520.320.180.130.08821-1314.114.2-0.1514.014.1-0.10
Ekpe Udoh39410.180.32-0.14-0.171217-513.714.4-0.6513.814.3-0.43
Marquis Daniels38370.180.32-0.150.00623-1713.914.3-0.3613.814.3-0.52
JJ Redick54550.160.34-0.19-0.371811714.413.80.6313.814.4-0.66
Gustavo Ayon21220.140.36-0.22-0.13920-1114.114.1-0.0111.714.7-3.07
Ish Smith890.000.50-0.50-0.15524-1917.213.93.3711.214.4-3.14
John Henson1214-0.070.57-0.63-0.01-231-3314.714.10.6815.713.81.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 86, TOR 1020.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.6%
GSW 102, CHH 1140.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.97,0.99,1,1,195.5%
GSW 92, ORL 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,195.4%