NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	7.7 [291]		MVP	Steve Blake (LAL): +16.6%
Sacramento Kings	98		Comeback	3.1 [437]		LVP	Patrick Patterson (SAC): -17.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	9	83%	0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.06	-0.03	10	43%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jodie Meeks	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	10	64%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.06	0.02	11	55%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.01	14	63%	0.18	4	-0.14	10	40%	-0.06
Steve Nash	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	18	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.01	15	51%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Jason Thompson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	10	71%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	5	77%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0	0.00	0.04	-0.05	-0.01	15	64%	0.21	4	-0.20	3	100%	0.02
Toney Douglas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	12	54%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	20	43%	-0.06	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	4	0%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	30.2	16.4	24.4	2.6	33.0	132.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +32.9%

LAL +2.2%

SAC -13.7%

LAL +24.2%

LAL +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	17.2	16.6	15.4	121.2	115.3	104.1
season	14.9	15.0		106.0	104.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		109.4	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.3	16.9	16.0	20.3	17.2
SAC	15.1	16.6	16.7	18.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Clark	36	35	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.13	16	-11	27	16.9	17.5	-0.52	16.1	17.0	-0.93
Kobe Bryant	84	84	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	0	5	17.5	0.0	17.45	16.6	22.0	-5.43
Antawn Jamison	39	39	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.11	12	-7	19	17.6	16.9	0.73	15.4	17.7	-2.36
Dwight Howard	70	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	6	-7	17.7	15.3	2.32	17.2	13.9	3.36
Jodie Meeks	69	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	7	-9	17.3	16.8	0.54	16.8	16.1	0.63
Steve Blake	57	54	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.29	-5	10	-15	16.9	17.9	-0.91	17.1	15.8	1.30
Chris Duhon	8	9	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	1	3	16.2	17.4	-1.10	14.4	16.9	-2.45
Pau Gasol	58	59	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	8	-11	17.3	17.2	0.09	16.9	16.1	0.75
Darius Morris	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	5	-5	0.0	17.5	-17.45	22.0	16.6	5.43
Steve Nash	3	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	6	-7	11.7	17.5	-5.78	16.6	16.6	-0.04

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	22	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-2	-1	16.9	16.6	0.31	17.4	17.2	0.24
Tyreke Evans	75	76	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.32	8	-13	21	16.9	14.7	2.19	16.9	20.1	-3.20
Toney Douglas	10	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	1	-7	16.2	16.7	-0.49	20.0	16.8	3.16
Jason Thompson	44	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-1	-3	16.0	17.4	-1.41	16.5	18.0	-1.55
Isaiah Thomas	49	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-2	-1	16.4	16.9	-0.49	15.3	19.8	-4.54
Patrick Patterson	34	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.21	-2	-3	1	17.4	16.1	1.25	19.8	15.7	4.10
DeMarcus Cousins	68	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.39	1	-6	7	16.7	16.4	0.35	17.1	17.7	-0.62
John Salmons	80	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	0	-5	16.7	16.2	0.46	17.1	19.0	-1.91
Marcus Thornton	43	45	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.34	-11	6	-17	16.3	16.9	-0.58	18.5	15.8	2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 100, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0	92.7%
CHI 92, MIA 79	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.32,0.12,0.01,0,0	92.5%
SAC 119, POR 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.75,0.77,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.01,0	92.1%